Weekly Iron Condor

Volatility Strategies Intermediate Singapore STI DBS OCBC UOB SINGTEL

Neutral - Expecting Range-Bound Price Action

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Quick Reference

Strategy Type Short Premium Iron Condor During Expiration Week
Market Outlook Neutral - Expecting Range-Bound Price Action
Risk Profile Defined Risk - Max Loss Known at Entry
Reward Profile Accelerated Theta Capture Over 5 Days
Time Horizon 1-5 Days (Expiration Week)
Iv Environment Works best in moderate-high IV; avoid very low IV
Breakeven Short strikes ± Credit received

Payoff Profile

Iron condor profits when the underlying stays between the short strikes. Maximum profit at expiration if stock is between short strikes. Maximum loss if stock is beyond either wing. • Credit received (if stock between short strikes at expiration) • Width of spread - Credit received • Short call strike + Credit • Short put strike - Credit

Singapore Market Details

Primary Instruments STI Options, DBS, OCBC, UOB - liquid options with monthly expiration
Mas Compliance MAS regulated; standard options margin requirements
Contract Size 1,000 shares for equities; S$5 per point for STI
Trading Hours 9:00 AM - 5:00 PM SGT
Critical Note Singapore has MONTHLY expirations only - no true weekly options
Weekly Context This strategy applies during the EXPIRATION WEEK of monthly options
Expiration Schedule 2nd last business day of each month
Settlement T+1 for SGX derivatives; T+2 for equities if assigned
Tax Treatment No capital gains tax for individuals in Singapore

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I trade weekly iron condors every week in Singapore?

No. Singapore only has monthly options expirations. You can only trade 'weekly' iron condors during the expiration week of each monthly cycle - approximately once per month.

What happens if the stock gaps through my short strike?

Your loss is capped at the maximum loss (width - credit). The wings protect you from unlimited loss. However, you may hit maximum loss quickly. This is why defined risk structures like iron condors are preferred.

Should I hold my iron condor until Friday expiration?

Generally no. It's recommended to close by Thursday afternoon or Friday morning to avoid expiration day mechanics like pin risk and potential assignment. The extra few dollars isn't worth the uncertainty.

Why would I take profits at 50% instead of waiting for 100%?

The first 50% of profit comes relatively quickly due to theta. The last 50% takes longer and exposes you to more gamma risk. Taking 50% captures most expected value with less risk.

What if IV drops during the week - does that help or hurt?

IV dropping helps your short options lose value faster. However, in expiration week, vega impact is minimal compared to theta and gamma. Focus more on stock movement than IV changes.

How do I choose between 16 delta and technical-based strikes?

Ideally, use both. Place strikes at approximately 16 delta AND beyond technical support/resistance. If they conflict, favor the technical levels - they represent actual price barriers.

What should I do if my condor is tested on Wednesday?

With only 2 days left, there's little time for recovery. Options: (1) Close entire position and accept loss, (2) Close tested side if confident in other direction, (3) Hold if stock is at strong support/resistance. Usually closing is safest.

How does the iron butterfly differ from iron condor for weekly trading?

Iron butterfly has ATM short strikes (same strike for put and call). It offers higher credit but narrower profit zone. Use it only when very confident stock stays at current price. Iron condor is safer with wider profit zone.

Should I trade smaller size for weekly vs monthly condors?

Yes, consider 50-75% of your normal monthly condor size. The elevated gamma means P&L swings are larger, so reducing size helps manage risk during the higher-volatility expiration week.

What's the best underlying for weekly iron condors in Singapore?

STI offers good liquidity and diversified exposure. Among single stocks, DBS typically has the best option liquidity. Choose underlyings with tight bid-ask spreads and sufficient volume at your desired strikes.

How do I optimize strikes using expected value calculations?

Calculate EV for multiple strike combinations: EV = (Credit × POP) - (Max Loss × (1-POP)). Use historical data or option deltas to estimate POP. Select the combination with highest positive EV while meeting minimum return requirements.

How do I integrate weekly condors with my monthly options portfolio?

Track aggregate Greeks across all positions. Set limits for total delta, gamma, and theta. Weekly condors add significant negative gamma - ensure this doesn't exceed portfolio limits. Consider weekly condors as an overlay, not core strategy.

What regime indicators should trigger adjustments to weekly condor strategy?

Monitor VIX (or local equivalent), daily ATR, IV percentile, and trend indicators. In low-vol regimes, use closer strikes. In high-vol regimes, use wider strikes and smaller size. In trending regimes, avoid condors entirely.

How do I backtest weekly iron condor strategies?

Collect historical option prices for expiration weeks. Simulate entry on Monday, track daily P&L, apply exit rules. Test across multiple years covering different regimes. Calculate win rate, profit factor, max drawdown. Validate out-of-sample.

What correlation adjustments should I make for multiple weekly condors?

If trading condors on correlated underlyings (e.g., all Singapore banks), sum their gamma exposure as if they're one position. Apply combined position limits. Consider offsetting correlations with uncorrelated underlyings or hedges.

Related Strategies

Monthly Iron Condor
Weekly Expiry Pro Iron Butterfly

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