Neutral - Expecting Price to Stay at Specific Level
| Strategy Type | Credit Spread (Income / Pinning Strategy) |
| Market Outlook | Neutral - Expecting Price to Stay at Specific Level |
| Risk Profile | Limited to wing width minus credit received |
| Reward Profile | Limited to credit received (higher than iron condor) |
| Time Horizon | 30-45 DTE recommended |
| Iv Environment | High IV preferred (selling ATM premium) |
| Breakeven | Two points: Short strike ± credit received |
| Primary Instruments | STI Index Options, DBS Options, OCBC Options, UOB Options |
| Mas Compliance | MAS regulated; retail trading permitted with licensed broker; defined risk strategy |
| Contract Size | S$5 per point for STI; 1,000 shares for equities; 100 shares for ETFs |
| Trading Hours | 9:00 AM - 5:00 PM SGT (Pre-Open 8:30 AM - 9:00 AM) |
| Expiry Options | Monthly expiries; weekly options limited availability |
| Settlement | T+2 for shares; T+1 for SGX derivatives |
| Tax Treatment | No capital gains tax for individuals in Singapore |
| Stamp Duty | 0.2% on share purchases (buyer and seller each); options exempt |
| Cdp Account | Central Depository (CDP) account required for share ownership; not needed for options |
Because both short options are at the same strike (ATM), the profit zone centers around just that one point. An iron condor has short options at different strikes, creating a plateau between them. The butterfly's higher credit compensates for the narrower zone.
You'll still be profitable as long as price stays within the breakeven points (short strike ± credit). But profit decreases as price moves away. Due to high gamma, this happens faster than with iron condors. The 'tent peak' profit curve means you're always losing profit as price moves.
Exact pinning at expiration is rare, which is why we take profits early (25-50%). The goal isn't perfect pinning but rather staying close enough to profit. Still, only enter butterflies when you have genuine conviction about a level.
A short straddle has UNLIMITED risk - if price moves far, losses are theoretically unlimited. The iron butterfly's wings cap your loss. For most retail traders, the defined risk of an iron butterfly is much safer than naked straddle selling.
Under normal circumstances, no. Your wings cap the loss. However, pin risk at expiration (exact price at strike causing assignment uncertainty) and early assignment on equity options are edge cases. Close before expiration to avoid these issues.
Use iron butterfly when: High conviction on exact level, strong technical confluence, want maximum premium. Use iron condor when: Expecting range but uncertain of exact level, want wider margin of error, lower gamma risk acceptable. In general, iron condors are 'safer' but butterflies pay more when right.
Iron butterflies: 1) Rarely hit max profit (need exact pin), 2) Have high gamma that erodes profits quickly, 3) Profit curve is peaked, not flat. Taking 25-50% captures realistic gains. Iron condors can target 50% because their flat plateau gives more room.
Generally, close rather than roll. Iron butterflies are hard to roll profitably due to high gamma - you're always rolling at a bad price when tested. If you must adjust, consider rolling to a new butterfly at the new price level rather than trying to salvage the original position.
Gamma increases as expiration approaches, especially for ATM options. Your already-high gamma becomes extreme. Small price moves cause large P&L swings. This is why we close at 21 DTE - the risk/reward of holding into gamma zone is poor.
30-45 DTE is optimal. Shorter (7-14 DTE) has fast theta but extreme gamma. Longer (60+ DTE) has slow theta and less premium. 30-45 balances theta capture against gamma risk. Exception: Experienced traders may use weekly butterflies for rapid decay but must manage very actively.
Consider: 1) Max pain levels as potential pin targets, 2) Large open interest at specific strikes (may attract price), 3) Dealer gamma positioning (can influence price behavior), 4) Options expiration cycles and roll activity. These are inputs, not guarantees - use in combination with technical analysis.
Use when: 1) Slight directional bias within neutral stance, 2) Want to reduce risk on one side, 3) Can achieve zero-risk or credit on one side. Example: Slightly bullish at 3150. Regular butterfly 3100/3150/3200. Broken wing: 3100/3150/3175 (narrower call wing, saves premium, reduces upside risk but increases downside exposure).
Conservative sizing is critical. Guidelines: 1) Maximum 3% of portfolio per butterfly, 2) Limit total butterfly exposure to 10-15% of portfolio, 3) Spread across underlyings and expirations, 4) Account for correlation - multiple butterflies on correlated assets multiply risk, 5) Reserve capital for adjustments or losses.
Process: 1) Wait for event to pass and price to gap/settle, 2) Enter immediately when IV is still elevated but crushing, 3) Place short strike at new consolidation level, 4) Take profits quickly as IV normalizes (25-30% target), 5) Don't overstay - the IV crush benefit diminishes rapidly. Best for: Earnings announcements, Fed decisions, major economic releases.
Strategies: 1) Diversify across sectors and asset classes, 2) Limit exposure to single sectors (e.g., max 2 bank butterflies), 3) Consider inverse correlations (butterflies on assets that move opposite), 4) Account for VIX correlation - all equity butterflies get hurt by VIX spikes, 5) Reduce size when adding correlated positions.
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