Vega Trading

Volatility Strategies Expert Singapore STI DBS OCBC UOB SINGTEL KEPPEL CAPLAND

Expecting IV to Change - Direction of Stock Secondary

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Quick Reference

Strategy Type Implied Volatility Trading (Vega Exposure)
Market Outlook Expecting IV to Change - Direction of Stock Secondary
Risk Profile Depends on structure - can be defined or undefined
Reward Profile Profits proportional to IV change × position vega
Time Horizon Days to weeks - depends on IV thesis
Iv Environment Long vega when IV low; Short vega when IV high
Breakeven IV change must exceed theta cost and other factors

Payoff Profile

Vega trading does not have a traditional stock-price payoff diagram because profit/loss depends primarily on IMPLIED VOLATILITY changes, not stock price movement. The diagram below shows P&L vs IV change for a long vega position. • IV increasing (for long vega) or decreasing (for short vega) • IV moving against your position + theta decay • P&L ≈ Position Vega × IV Change • Delta, gamma, theta also affect P&L

Singapore Market Details

Primary Instruments STI Index Options, DBS, OCBC, UOB - stocks with liquid options
Mas Compliance MAS regulated; margin requirements vary by structure
Contract Size 1,000 shares for equities; S$5 per point for STI
Trading Hours 9:00 AM - 5:00 PM SGT
Expiry Options Monthly expiries; longer DTE = more vega exposure
Settlement T+2 for shares; T+1 for SGX derivatives
Tax Treatment No capital gains tax for individuals in Singapore
Stamp Duty Options exempt from stamp duty
Volatility Context Singapore market IV typically 15-35% for banks; spikes during global events

Frequently Asked Questions

Is vega trading the same as buying straddles?

Buying straddles is one way to be long vega, but vega trading is broader. It includes any strategy focused on IV changes - calendars, short structures, delta-hedged positions, etc. Straddles also have gamma exposure, so they're not pure vega.

How is vega trading different from regular options trading?

Regular options trading often focuses on stock direction (will it go up or down?). Vega trading focuses on volatility (will options become more or less expensive?). The stock can stay still and you profit if IV moves your way.

Do I need special approval for vega trading?

It depends on the structure. Long options (straddles, calendars) need basic approval. Short naked options need highest approval and significant margin. Defined-risk spreads (iron condors) usually need intermediate approval.

How much can I make from vega trading?

Profit = Position Vega × IV Change. If you have 200 vega and IV rises 5%, you make ~S$1,000 from vega. But you must also consider theta decay and other Greeks. Vega trading can be profitable but requires skill.

What's the biggest risk in vega trading?

For long vega: Theta decay eats your position while waiting for IV to move. For short vega: IV can spike dramatically during crises. Also, stock movement (gamma) affects your P&L even if you're trying to trade vega.

How do I choose between a straddle and calendar for long vega?

Straddle: Maximum vega but high theta cost. Calendar: Lower vega but potentially positive theta. Use straddle if expecting large IV spike quickly. Use calendar if expecting gradual IV rise and want theta to help.

Should I delta-hedge my vega positions?

It depends. Delta-hedge if you want pure vega exposure with no directional opinion. Don't hedge if you also have a directional view or if hedging costs (stamp duty in Singapore) are prohibitive. Many retail traders don't hedge due to complexity and cost.

How often should I re-hedge delta?

For pure vega trading, re-hedge when delta drifts beyond a threshold (e.g., ±25). More frequent hedging = purer vega but higher costs. Less frequent = more directional exposure. In Singapore, stamp duty makes frequent hedging expensive.

What IV change do I need to profit?

Calculate: Daily Theta / Position Vega = Required daily IV change. Then multiply by expected holding period. Example: S$50 theta, 200 vega = 0.25% IV/day needed. Over 10 days = 2.5% IV rise needed just to break even.

How do I trade term structure?

If term structure is steep (back month IV >> front month IV): Sell calendar (short back month). If flat/inverted: Buy calendar. You're betting on term structure normalizing. Use calendar spreads to express this view.

How do market makers manage vega books?

Market makers aggregate vega across all positions, track vega by expiration bucket, and hedge when aggregate vega exceeds limits. They may trade options against options to net vega. They use sophisticated systems to monitor real-time vega exposure.

How does the volatility risk premium affect systematic vega strategies?

VRP (IV > realized on average) gives short vega strategies positive expected returns. However, returns are negatively skewed - frequent small wins but occasional large losses. Systematic approaches must survive the drawdowns to capture long-run edge.

How do I trade volatility skew?

Skew trades involve relative positions across strikes. Example: If put skew is steep (OTM puts expensive relative to ATM), sell OTM puts, buy ATM puts. Risk: Skew can steepen further during crashes when OTM puts are most valuable. These trades have crash risk.

What is 'volga' and when does it matter?

Volga = ∂Vega/∂IV - how vega changes as IV changes. Matters for: large positions, exotic options, or when IV moves significantly. As IV rises, vega of OTM options increases (they gain convexity). This is second-order and mostly relevant for sophisticated traders.

How do institutions replicate variance swaps?

Variance swaps can be replicated with a strip of options across all strikes, weighted by 1/K². In practice, this requires many options, is expensive in transaction costs, and has discrete strike risk. Institutional desks have systems for this; retail can't practically replicate.

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