Long Volatility

Volatility Strategies Advanced Singapore STI DBS OCBC UOB SINGTEL KEPPEL CAPLAND

Expecting Volatility Increase - Direction Neutral

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Quick Reference

Strategy Type Volatility Trading (Long Vega)
Market Outlook Expecting Volatility Increase - Direction Neutral
Risk Profile Limited to premium paid (for straddle/strangle implementation)
Reward Profile Unlimited in either direction (if stock moves enough)
Time Horizon Short to medium-term (20-60 DTE typical)
Iv Environment Enter when IV is LOW; profit when IV rises
Breakeven Depends on structure - requires large move or IV expansion

Payoff Profile

Long volatility strategies profit from large moves in either direction OR from increases in implied volatility. The classic implementation (long straddle) shows a V-shaped payoff at expiration, but the strategy can profit before expiration if IV rises significantly. • Large moves in either direction, or IV expansion • Stock stays near strike AND IV stays flat or decreases • Premium paid (for straddle/strangle) • Unlimited in either direction

Singapore Market Details

Primary Instruments STI Index Options, DBS Options, OCBC Options, UOB Options
Mas Compliance MAS regulated; retail trading permitted for long options strategies
Contract Size S$5 per point for STI; 1,000 shares for equities
Trading Hours 9:00 AM - 5:00 PM SGT (Pre-Open 8:30 AM - 9:00 AM)
Expiry Options Monthly expiries; weekly options limited availability
Settlement T+2 for shares; T+1 for SGX derivatives
Tax Treatment No capital gains tax for individuals in Singapore
Stamp Duty Options exempt from stamp duty
Volatility Context Singapore market generally lower vol than US; vol spikes during regional/global events

Frequently Asked Questions

Why would I buy volatility instead of just picking a direction?

When you expect a big move but don't know which way. For example, before earnings - you know the stock will move but can't predict if it's up or down. Long volatility profits from movement in either direction.

How much can I lose on a long straddle?

Maximum loss is the total premium paid for both options. This occurs if the stock is exactly at the strike at expiration (rare). In practice, you'd likely close before expiration if the position is losing.

What's the difference between straddle and strangle?

Straddle uses ATM options (same strike); Strangle uses OTM options (different strikes). Strangle costs less but needs a bigger move to profit. Use straddle for smaller expected moves; strangle for very large expected moves.

How long should I hold a long volatility position?

Depends on thesis. Typically close when: (1) IV reaches target, (2) stock moves enough, (3) approaching 21 DTE (theta accelerates), or (4) thesis is invalidated. Don't hold to expiration unless move has occurred.

What is theta and why does it hurt?

Theta is time decay - how much value your options lose each day. Long options have negative theta, meaning they lose value daily. This is the cost you pay for the opportunity to profit from movement.

How do I know if IV is cheap or expensive?

Use IV Rank or IV Percentile. IV Rank < 30% means volatility is in the lower part of its yearly range (cheap). Compare current IV to 52-week range and historical realized volatility.

Should I hold through earnings for the big move?

Usually not optimal. IV typically drops 20-50% after earnings (IV crush). Unless the stock moves VERY significantly, the IV crush can exceed movement gains. Consider selling before earnings if IV has already risen.

What's gamma scalping and should I do it?

Gamma scalping is repeatedly hedging delta to profit from oscillations. It can generate profits to offset theta. It's complex, requires active management, and works best when realized vol exceeds implied vol. Most retail traders should just manage the straddle/strangle directly.

How do I calculate my breakeven on a straddle?

Upper breakeven = Strike + Total Premium. Lower breakeven = Strike - Total Premium. Example: S$33 straddle costing S$1.75 → breakevens at S$34.75 and S$31.25. Stock must move beyond these levels for profit at expiration.

What's the difference between IV and historical volatility?

IV is forward-looking (market's expectation from option prices). Historical volatility (HV) is backward-looking (actual past movement). Long vol works best when IV < expected future realized vol. Compare them to gauge if options are cheap.

How do I trade the volatility term structure?

In contango (normal), near-term IV < far-term IV. In backwardation, near-term IV > far-term IV. Trade via calendars: long back-month + short front-month if expecting term structure to normalize. Monitor for parallel shifts vs steepening/flattening.

What is volatility skew and how does it affect my strangle?

Skew means OTM puts typically have higher IV than equidistant OTM calls. This makes your put more expensive than the call. Account for this when sizing or selecting strikes. Skew changes also affect P&L independent of ATM IV changes.

How do institutions trade pure volatility exposure?

Variance swaps (directly trade realized vs implied variance), volatility swaps, VIX futures/options, or weighted option strips. These isolate volatility from delta. Retail access is limited; use straddles/strangles as proxy.

When is the volatility risk premium most likely to reverse?

During major market dislocations (crashes, crises) when realized vol exceeds what was implied. These are the times long volatility can have outsized returns. However, timing is difficult, and you pay theta waiting.

How do I manage vega risk across a portfolio of volatility positions?

Track aggregate vega and vega by expiration bucket. Balance long and short vega exposure if desired. Understand correlation - all vega positions may move together in crisis. Use scenario analysis for various IV shocks.

Related Strategies

Long Straddle Long Strangle
Reverse Iron Condor

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