Iron Butterfly Weekly

Volatility Strategies Advanced Singapore STI DBS OCBC UOB SINGTEL

Strongly Neutral - Expecting Stock to Pin at Strike

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Quick Reference

Strategy Type ATM Iron Butterfly During Expiration Week
Market Outlook Strongly Neutral - Expecting Stock to Pin at Strike
Risk Profile Defined Risk - Higher Credit but Narrow Profit Zone
Reward Profile Maximum Profit if Stock Expires Exactly at Short Strike
Time Horizon 1-5 Days (Expiration Week Only)
Iv Environment High IV Preferred for Maximum Premium
Breakeven Short Strike ± Credit Received

Payoff Profile

An iron butterfly has a tent-shaped payoff with maximum profit at the short strike price. The profit zone is narrow but the credit is high. Weekly application captures accelerated theta during expiration week. • Credit received (at exact short strike) • Wing width - Credit (if stock moves beyond wings) • Short strike + Credit • Short strike - Credit • Narrow - between breakevens

Singapore Market Details

Primary Instruments STI Options, DBS, OCBC, UOB - need liquid ATM strikes
Mas Compliance MAS regulated; margin based on wing width
Contract Size 1,000 shares for equities; S$5 per point for STI
Trading Hours 9:00 AM - 5:00 PM SGT
Weekly Reality No weekly options in Singapore - strategy applies during monthly EXPIRATION WEEK only
Expiration Schedule 2nd last business day of month
Settlement T+1 for derivatives; T+2 for equities if assigned
Tax Treatment No capital gains tax for individuals in Singapore
Critical Note Expiration week = last 5 trading days before monthly expiration

Frequently Asked Questions

Why would I choose a butterfly over a condor for expiration week?

Choose butterfly if you expect the stock to stay very close to one price (pin). Choose condor if you just want it to stay within a range. Butterfly has higher credit but much narrower success zone.

How much can I make on a weekly butterfly?

Credit is typically high (often 60-80% of wing width). For a S$1 wing width, you might collect S$0.60-0.80. But you only keep this if stock expires exactly at your strike; any movement reduces profit.

Why is gamma so important for weekly butterflies?

Gamma measures how fast delta changes with stock movement. Weekly butterflies have extreme gamma because ATM options near expiration are most sensitive. Small moves cause big P&L swings. This is why reduced position size is essential.

Should I hold my butterfly to expiration?

Generally no. Exit by Thursday morning to avoid expiration complications (pin risk, assignment, after-hours moves). Taking 50-75% profit early is usually wiser than holding for maximum.

What happens if the stock moves away from my strike?

Your profit decreases and potentially becomes a loss. If stock moves beyond your breakevens (strike ± credit), you're in losing territory. Beyond the wings, you're at maximum loss.

How do I select the best ATM strike?

Ideally choose the strike closest to current price with high open interest (for potential pinning). Round numbers (S$33.00 vs S$33.25) often have more OI. Technical levels can also work if stock is near support/resistance.

What wing width should I use for weekly butterflies?

Standard is S$1.00. Use narrower (S$0.50) if very confident in pin. Use wider (S$1.50-2.00) if want more room but lower credit. Match width to your confidence and expected stock movement.

Can I adjust a weekly butterfly if it goes wrong?

Options are limited due to time. You can: (1) Close entirely, (2) Roll to new ATM strike if confident, (3) Convert to IC by moving one short strike. Often closing is best - not enough time for adjustments to work.

How do I manage the extreme gamma risk?

Reduce position size (50-75% of monthly). Take profits quickly (50% target). Set tight stop losses. Monitor actively during the day. Don't set-and-forget. Consider gamma scalping if experienced.

What's the best time of day to enter a weekly butterfly?

After the first 30-60 minutes when spreads tighten and opening volatility settles. Midday often has best liquidity. Avoid last hour when spreads may widen.

How do I identify high-probability pinning strikes?

Check open interest at each strike - higher OI = more hedging = stronger pin. Look for strikes with unusually high call and put OI combined. Round numbers typically have more OI. Track historical pinning patterns for the underlying.

How does gamma scalping work with weekly butterflies?

As gamma pushes delta around, trade stock opposite. Delta goes to -20 → buy 20 shares. Stock reverts → delta near zero → sell shares at profit. Requires active monitoring, quick execution, and understanding of stamp duty impact on profits.

When would I use a broken wing butterfly for expiration week?

When you have a slight directional bias but still want theta. Broken wing gives more room on one side. Example: bullish broken wing has wider put wings - if stock rises, you still profit; if it falls moderately, the wider wing gives protection.

How do I integrate weekly butterflies with monthly positions?

Use weekly butterflies for additional theta boost during expiration week, limited to 1-2% portfolio. They can offset gamma from long positions. Don't let weekly butterflies dominate - they're high risk supplements.

What's the relationship between VIX/IV and weekly butterfly profitability?

Higher IV = higher credit (good for entry). But high IV often means expected movement (bad for butterflies needing stock to stay put). Sweet spot is elevated IV with technical support for stock staying at level. IV crush can help post-entry.

Related Strategies

Weekly Iron Condor
Monthly Iron Butterfly
Short Straddle

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