Futures Order Flow

Mean Reversion Strategies Advanced Singapore SGX Nikkei 225 Futures SGX MSCI Singapore Index Futures SGX Nifty 50 Futures SGX FTSE China A50 Futures SGX Iron Ore Futures

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Quick Reference

Strategy Type Volume and Order Analysis / Tape Reading
Market Outlook Works in All Market Conditions
Risk Profile Defined by Order Flow Invalidation Levels
Reward Profile Target Key Levels or Flow Exhaustion
Time Horizon Intraday (Minutes to Hours)
Indicator Type Delta, Cumulative Delta, Footprint, Volume Profile
Signal Type Trade with Aggressive Order Flow; Fade Absorption/Exhaustion

Singapore Market Details

Primary Instruments SGX Nikkei 225, SGX MSCI Singapore, SGX Nifty 50, SGX FTSE China A50, SGX Iron Ore
Trading Hours T Session: 7:30 AM - 2:30 PM SGT; T+1 Session: 3:15 PM - 2:30 AM SGT • 8:30 AM - 5:15 PM SGT • 9:00 AM - 6:15 PM SGT • 9:00 AM - 4:30 PM SGT; T+1: 5:00 PM - 4:45 AM SGT
Recommended Timeframes Tick charts, 1-minute, 5-minute for order flow analysis
Currency Contract-specific (JPY, SGD, USD, CNH)
Default Settings Delta bars, Cumulative Delta, Footprint charts
Liquidity Note Best on liquid contracts; Order flow meaningful with volume
Typical Holding Period Minutes to hours

Frequently Asked Questions

What tools do I need for order flow analysis?

At minimum: Platform showing delta bars and cumulative delta. Better: Footprint charts and volume profile. Professional: Add DOM (depth of market) and time & sales. Start simple with delta/CD.

Is order flow only for scalping?

No. While often used for scalping, order flow works on any timeframe. 5-15 minute for day trading, 1-4 hour for swing trading. Larger timeframes show bigger picture flow patterns.

How do I know if delta is 'large'?

Compare to recent bars. A large delta is significantly above the average delta for recent bars. Context matters - what's large in one market may be normal in another.

Can I use order flow on SGX futures?

Yes. SGX futures like Nikkei 225, China A50, Nifty 50 have good volume for order flow analysis. You need data from your broker or a third-party vendor. Most liquid during underlying market hours.

Why does order flow matter if I can just use price action?

Price action shows what happened. Order flow shows WHY it happened - the actual buying/selling. It's like seeing behind the curtain. Two candles may look the same but have very different order flow.

What's the difference between absorption and exhaustion?

Absorption: Flow absorbed WITH price stability - Level holds; Trend may continue. Exhaustion: Flow spike WITH price reversal - Trend ending. Absorption shows strength; Exhaustion shows weakness.

How reliable is delta divergence?

Delta divergence is one of the most reliable order flow signals. Price making new highs with less buying (lower delta) or new lows with less selling (higher delta) often precedes reversals. Always confirm with price action.

What is the Value Area in Volume Profile?

Value Area is the range containing approximately 70% of traded volume. It represents where price 'accepted' value. VAH (Value Area High) and VAL (Value Area Low) act as support/resistance.

How do I identify footprint imbalances?

Look for price levels where bid and ask volume differ by 300%+ (3:1 ratio). Example: 150 bid | 500 ask = Buy imbalance. Stacked imbalances (multiple levels) are very strong signals.

Should I always trade with delta direction?

Not always. Trading with strong delta is generally good. BUT at key levels, absorption (opposite delta absorbed) can be a reversal signal. Context is key - delta at a random spot vs delta at major support/resistance.

How do I detect iceberg orders?

Signs: Same price keeps filling despite being hit repeatedly; Large volume at price vs small display size in book; Footprint shows disproportionate volume. Icebergs reveal institutional interest and create strong S/R.

What is the sweep and fade pattern?

Price sweeps beyond obvious level (taking out stops, creating delta spike), then flow is absorbed, and price reverses. Institutions trigger retail stops for liquidity, then trade opposite direction. Enter on reversal confirmation.

How do I distinguish accumulation from distribution?

Accumulation (buying): Selling absorbed at lows, CD rising or not falling, higher lows in range. Distribution (selling): Buying absorbed at highs, CD falling or not rising, lower highs in range. Volume often picks up.

How do professional traders use time & sales?

Time & Sales shows every trade. Pros watch for: Large prints (size), Speed of tape (momentum), Price of execution (at bid vs ask), Clusters of activity. It's the fastest way to see flow, but requires practice.

Can order flow be coded for algorithmic trading?

Yes, but challenging. Delta and CD are straightforward. Footprint imbalances can be coded with threshold rules. Absorption/exhaustion requires more complex logic. Major challenge: Subjective elements are hard to quantify.

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