Trend Classifier

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Quick Reference

Purpose Classify market trend direction and strength to optimize strategy selection, position bias, and risk management decisions
Core Function Analyzes price action across multiple timeframes and indicators to classify trends as strong uptrend, weak uptrend, sideways, weak downtrend, or strong downtrend with confidence scores

India-Specific Notes

Indian Market Trend Patterns

Bank Nifty Specifics 1.3-1.5x Nifty volatility • Stronger trends in both directions • RBI policy can shift trends quickly
Sector Trends Pharma, FMCG often counter-trend to market • Banks, Autos amplify market trends • IT, Metals follow global trends

Indian Trend Indicators

Fii Dii Flows Sustained FII buying confirms uptrend • Persistent FII selling warns of downtrend • Flow divergence from price warns of reversal
Advance Decline A/D ratio consistently > 1.5 • A/D declining while index rising • Extreme A/D readings at trend ends
Delivery Percentage Higher delivery percentage (>40-50%) • Lower delivery, more speculative
Oi Analysis Rising OI with rising prices • Rising OI with falling prices • Falling OI with rising prices • Falling OI with falling prices

Seasonal Trend Patterns

Pre Budget Jan Feb Range-bound with volatility spikes • Usually weak/sideways
Post Budget Feb Mar Often directional move post-budget • Can initiate strong trends
Election Period Uncertain, volatile • Trend classification less reliable
Monsoon Jun Sep Sector-specific trends • Rural themes based on monsoon progress
Diwali Oct Nov Often bullish seasonality • Moderate to strong uptrend tendency
Year End Dec Low volume, FII rebalancing • Usually weak trends

Expiry Impact On Trends

Weekly Expiry Can create noise in intraday trends • Use daily timeframe for trend, ignore intraday noise
Monthly Expiry Rollover activity, max pain moves • Trend signals may be distorted

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