VWAP Reversion

Mean Reversion / Volume-Weighted Systems Intermediate United Kingdom FTSE100 UK100 BP HSBA VOD BARC LLOY AZN SHEL RIO

Profits from price returning to volume-weighted fair value

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Quick Reference

Strategy Type Mean Reversion / Intraday Fair Value
Market Outlook Profits from price returning to volume-weighted fair value
Risk Profile Defined by stop beyond VWAP band extreme
Reward Profile Target is VWAP (fair value) or opposite band
Time Horizon Intraday (resets daily)
Iv Environment Works in various IV; best in normal to low IV
Breakeven Price reverts enough toward VWAP to cover costs

Payoff Profile

Buys when price is significantly below VWAP (oversold); sells when significantly above VWAP (overbought). Targets return to VWAP.

United Kingdom Market Details

Primary Instruments FTSE 100 index, UK single stocks (BP, HSBA, VOD, BARC, AZN, SHEL, RIO)
Fca Compliance Standard trading; appropriate for retail traders
Contract Size £10 per point for FTSE 100 CFDs/spread bets; varies for stocks
Trading Hours LSE: 8:00 AM - 4:30 PM GMT; VWAP resets at session start
Vwap Calculation Cumulative from 8:00 AM open; resets daily
Settlement CFDs and spread bets settle daily
Spread Betting Tax-free profits for UK residents - ideal for VWAP trading
Stamp Duty 0.5% on share purchases; exempt for CFDs, spread bets
Volume Data Requires tick or 1-min volume data for accurate VWAP

Frequently Asked Questions

How do I add VWAP to my chart?

Most charting platforms have VWAP built in. In TradingView, search 'VWAP' in indicators. In IG/CMC, look in technical indicators menu. Add VWAP bands by searching 'VWAP with bands' or 'VWAP standard deviation'. Ensure it's set to session VWAP (daily reset).

What's a good band setting to start with?

Start with 1.5 SD and 2 SD bands. The 2 SD band is your primary entry zone - price reaches it less often but reversions are more reliable. The 1.5 SD band is for watching - confirms you're approaching an extreme. Adjust based on experience and volatility.

Should I always target VWAP exactly?

VWAP is the primary target (highest probability). However, you can use a small buffer (a few points shy of VWAP) to increase fill probability. Some traders target 75% of the distance to VWAP for higher hit rate but smaller profits.

What if price doesn't return to VWAP?

That's what stops are for. If price continues beyond your entry band and hits your stop, exit. Not all trades work - VWAP reversion has roughly 55-65% success rate depending on conditions. Accept losses, use proper position sizing.

Can I hold VWAP trades overnight?

No - VWAP resets daily, so your trade thesis ends at session close. Always exit before market close (by 4:00 PM on LSE). Overnight, a new VWAP forms that may be completely different from your entry reference.

How do I identify ranging vs trending days early?

Early signs: Gap at open often means trending. First hour crossing VWAP multiple times suggests ranging. ADX above 25 suggests trend. VWAP slope steepening = trending. By 10:00-10:30 AM, you should have a good read on the day type.

What's the best time of day for VWAP reversion?

Mid-session (10:00 AM - 3:00 PM) is optimal. VWAP is established and stable. Avoid first 30 minutes (VWAP unstable) and last 30 minutes (closing flows). US overlap (2:30 PM) can create opportunities but also trend moves.

Should I use the same bands for all instruments?

Not necessarily. More volatile instruments (like BARC) may need wider bands. Less volatile blue chips may work with standard bands. Track touch frequency - bands should be touched 2-5 times per day. Adjust per instrument.

How do I combine VWAP with other indicators?

RSI is most common - RSI < 30 at lower VWAP band = double confirmation. Candle patterns at bands add confidence. Volume spikes at bands suggest institutional interest. Pivot points near VWAP create confluence. Layer confirmations for higher probability.

What about weekly or monthly VWAP?

Weekly VWAP (from Monday) and monthly VWAP provide longer-term fair value references. Use them for context - if daily VWAP is near weekly VWAP, that's confluence for stronger support/resistance. Trade with daily VWAP for intraday, use higher timeframes for context.

How do I dynamically adjust bands during the day?

Scale bands by real-time volatility. Calculate current session volatility vs historical average. Band = VWAP ± (SD × vol_ratio). When current vol > average, bands widen. When vol < average, bands tighten. This adapts to changing conditions automatically.

What's the optimal approach for VWAP options trades?

For directional reversion: Buy ATM options with 1-2 DTE at extreme bands. For neutral: Iron condors around VWAP bands profit from ranging. 0DTE options work for quick reversions but have extreme theta risk. Credit spreads benefit from IV crush as price normalizes.

How do I backtest VWAP properly?

Need minute-by-minute data with volume. Calculate VWAP cumulatively bar-by-bar (no look-ahead). Test multiple band configurations. Segment by regime (trending vs ranging days). Include realistic slippage at entry/exit. Walk-forward validate across market conditions.

How do I build a systematic VWAP portfolio?

Real-time scan universe for band touches. Rank by deviation magnitude and confirmation quality. Allocate 0.5-1% per trade, max 3-5 concurrent. Track performance by instrument, band, time, and regime. Optimize parameters based on results. Diversify across sectors.

When should I not trade VWAP reversion?

Skip when: Strong trend day (ADX > 30, price one side of VWAP), major news pending or just occurred, first 30 minutes, last 30 minutes, very low volume, VWAP slope steep and one-directional. VWAP reversion is a ranging strategy - respect trend conditions.

Related Strategies

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RSI
Volume Analysis
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Trend Filter

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