Profits from sustained directional moves by following Supertrend indicator signals
| Strategy Type | Trend-Following / ATR-Based Directional Trading |
| Market Outlook | Profits from sustained directional moves by following Supertrend indicator signals |
| Risk Profile | Moderate - clear trend signals with built-in trailing stop mechanism |
| Reward Profile | Captures large trending moves; lets winners run with dynamic trailing |
| Time Horizon | Swing to position trading (days to weeks depending on settings) |
| Iv Environment | Best in trending markets; generates whipsaws in choppy conditions |
| Breakeven | Price moves sufficiently in trend direction to offset entry spread and any false signals |
| Primary Instruments | Spot Silver CFD (XAGUSD), COMEX Silver Futures (SI), Micro Silver (SIL) |
| Fca Compliance | Standard trading instruments; Supertrend is a legitimate technical indicator |
| Contract Specifications | Variable per broker, typically $1-10 per $0.01 move • $50 per $0.01 (5,000 oz contract) • $10 per $0.01 (1,000 oz contract) |
| Silver Supertrend Characteristics | Period 10, Multiplier 3.0 (standard for daily) • Period 7-14, Multiplier 2.5-3.5 depending on volatility • Daily: 1-3 signals per month; 4H: 3-8 signals per month • Captures 60-80% of major trends with default settings |
| Uk Trading Sessions | Use daily close for signals (any time zone) • US session (13:30-22:00 GMT) most active • Act on confirmed close, not intraday crosses |
| Uk Access Methods | Tax-free, Supertrend available on most platforms • Flexible sizing, good for trend following • SI/SIL for larger positions, natural fit for trend systems |
| Supertrend Availability | Built-in on TradingView, available as indicator on most platforms |
| Margin Requirements | SI: ~$14,000. SIL: ~$2,800. CFDs: 5-10%. |
TradingView: Add Indicator → search 'Supertrend' → select it. Most platforms have it built-in. Default settings (10, 3.0) are fine to start. You'll see a colored line that follows price.
Daily chart is recommended for beginners - fewer signals, cleaner trends, less monitoring needed. 4-hour chart for more active trading. Avoid timeframes below 4H initially as they produce more whipsaws.
You can trade both directions, or only long signals if you're uncomfortable shorting. For beginners, starting with only long trades (green Supertrend) is simpler. Add shorts as you gain experience.
On daily charts: days to weeks, sometimes months in strong trends. Average is 1-4 weeks. Trade until Supertrend flips - don't exit early unless using advanced management.
Accept the small loss, as it's part of the system. Multiple whipsaws suggest a ranging market - consider pausing trading until clear trend returns (ADX > 25). Don't increase size to 'make it back.'
Default (10, 3.0) works well for daily silver. For 4H, consider 10, 3.5 (slightly wider to account for noise). In volatile periods, increase multiplier to 3.5. In quiet periods, can use 2.5. Test changes before implementing.
Most useful additions: (1) ADX for regime filter - trade when ADX > 25, (2) RSI for momentum confirmation - flip + RSI aligned, (3) Volume - high volume flip = strong. Don't overload - 2-3 total indicators maximum.
For daily charts, mental stops work (exit on next bar if close beyond line). For faster timeframes or if you can't monitor, use platform stops slightly beyond Supertrend line. Update stops as line moves.
Gaps are part of trading - sometimes they help, sometimes hurt. Daily Supertrend signals are based on closes, so gaps are incorporated. Size positions so even large gaps don't cause unacceptable losses.
Yes, but whipsaws increase significantly. For intraday (5-15 min charts), use wider settings (e.g., 10, 4.0), combine with trend filter, and accept lower win rate. Daily Supertrend for direction, intraday for entry is one approach.
Use TradingView Pine Script or Python with historical data. Test: win rate, profit factor, max drawdown, expectancy. Compare to baseline (10, 3.0). Test across different market regimes. Out-of-sample testing essential.
Custom coding required. Basic approach: Multiplier = Base × (ATR(10) / SMA(ATR(10), 50)). This increases multiplier when current volatility exceeds average and decreases when below. Test extensively before live.
Risk parity approach: Allocate inversely to volatility so each market contributes equal risk. Example: Silver (higher vol) gets smaller allocation than Gold (lower vol). Total portfolio risk 8-10% maximum.
If silver is long and gold is short (unusual given correlation), treat with suspicion. Options: (1) Take neither, (2) Take the stronger signal only, (3) Reduce size on both. Conflicting correlated signals often precede whipsaws.
Options: (1) Standard flip - simple, captures full trends, (2) Partial at 2R, let rest ride, (3) Tighter trailing after profit (reduce multiplier), (4) Time decay - tighten after 20+ bars. Backtest each to find best for your goals.
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