Moderately Bearish - Expecting Decline to Short Strike, Not Beyond
| Strategy Type | Advanced Directional - Moderately Bearish with Hedge |
| Market Outlook | Moderately Bearish - Expecting Decline to Short Strike, Not Beyond |
| Risk Profile | Limited on upside (premium paid or small credit), Substantial on downside below short strikes (to zero) |
| Reward Profile | Maximum profit at short strike price at expiration |
| Time Horizon | 30-45 DTE optimal |
| Iv Environment | Moderate to High IV preferred (selling extra puts) |
| Breakeven | Depends on ratio and net debit/credit - calculated based on setup |
| Common Ratios | 1x2, 2x3, 1x3 |
| Primary Instruments | FTSE 100 Index Options, UK Single Stock Options - works well on moderately bearish setups |
| Fca Compliance | Classified as complex instrument under FCA rules; appropriateness test required; naked put component requires approval |
| Contract Size | £10 per point for FTSE 100 index options; 1,000 shares for equity options |
| Trading Hours | 08:00 - 16:30 GMT (LSE hours); FTSE 100 options trade until 16:30 |
| Expiry Options | Monthly expiries (3rd Friday); Weekly options available on FTSE 100 |
| Settlement | Cash-settled for index options; Physical delivery for equity options (T+2) |
| Margin Requirements | Margin required for naked put portion; long put reduces margin but net short puts require substantial margin |
| Spread Betting | Tax-free profits for UK residents; downside risk still substantial |
| Stamp Duty | No stamp duty on puts (no share purchase) |
| Isa Wrapper | Options not ISA-eligible; profits subject to Capital Gains Tax above £6,000 annual allowance (2024/25) |
| Tax Treatment | Gains taxed as capital gains (10% basic rate, 20% higher rate); losses can offset gains |
| Risk Warning | SUBSTANTIAL LOSS POTENTIAL below lower breakeven. Underlying can fall to zero. Only for experienced traders. |
Unlike calls where the underlying can rise infinitely, the underlying can only fall to zero. So while the risk is very large, it's technically finite. However, for practical purposes, a crash to zero (or even a 30-40% decline) would be devastating - hence we call it 'substantial' risk.
It's moderately bearish - you want the underlying to fall to the short strike but not beyond. Think of it as 'bearish with a floor.' Below the short strike, the position becomes effectively bullish due to the extra short puts.
No - they're actually MORE dangerous. While calls have unlimited risk and puts have 'substantial' (finite) risk, crashes happen faster than rallies. You have less time to react and exit. Size ratio put spreads more conservatively.
Buying puts costs premium and fights theta decay. Ratio put spreads can be done for credit and benefit from theta. However, buying puts has no downside limit while ratios do. Choose based on how bearish you are and cost sensitivity.
Potentially devastating losses. If the underlying crashes through your short strike and lower breakeven, losses accelerate rapidly. This is why active management and proper sizing are essential. Never hold through crash scenarios.
Put skew means OTM puts (your short puts) have higher IV than ATM puts (your long put). This inflated IV on short puts means you collect more premium, potentially improving your credit or reducing your debit.
Generally yes, especially if it reaches there quickly. At the short strike, you're at max profit but exposed to substantial downside risk. Given that crashes are fast, taking max profit early is usually correct.
Similar in structure - you have 1 naked put (2 short - 1 long = 1 net short). Margin is typically similar to 1 naked put. However, during high-VIX environments, put margins may be higher due to crash fears.
Moderate bearish: expect decline to specific support level. Crash bearish: expect severe decline through support. For crash bearish views, use Put Backspread (buy more puts than sell) or outright long puts - NOT ratio put spreads.
Consider earlier time exits for ratio put spreads (14-21 DTE) because crashes can happen suddenly. You want to be out of the position before gamma intensifies and while you have time to react to any negative developments.
Calculate loss at various crash scenarios (10%, 20%, 30% decline). Weight these by estimated probability (use historical data or option-implied probabilities). Size so expected loss in crash scenario doesn't exceed 5% of portfolio.
When front-month VIX futures are significantly higher than back months, the market is pricing in near-term crash risk. This is a strong signal to avoid ratio put spreads entirely - the market may know something.
Reduce ratio put spread allocation during earnings season when individual stocks have elevated crash risk from earnings misses. For index ratio put spreads, be aware that multiple negative earnings can cascade into index declines.
Ideal: 5% OTM put IV is 4-6 vol points higher than ATM. Very steep skew (8+ points) may indicate extreme fear - verify your support thesis. Flat skew reduces the advantage of the ratio structure.
Ratio put spreads can serve as 'soft' hedges - they protect to the short strike at low/no cost. But they FAIL as hedges below the lower breakeven. Never rely on them as primary crash protection. Use for partial hedge in moderate decline scenarios only.
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