Pivot Point Reversal

Mean Reversion / Support-Resistance Systems Intermediate United Kingdom FTSE100 UK100 BP HSBA VOD BARC LLOY AZN SHEL RIO

Profits from price reversals at mathematically calculated pivot levels

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Quick Reference

Strategy Type Mean Reversion / Support-Resistance Reversal
Market Outlook Profits from price reversals at mathematically calculated pivot levels
Risk Profile Defined by stop beyond pivot level
Reward Profile Target next pivot level or central pivot
Time Horizon Intraday to short-term swing (1-5 days typical)
Iv Environment Works in various IV environments; levels provide structure
Breakeven Price reverses enough from pivot to cover costs

Payoff Profile

Buys at support pivots (S1, S2, S3) expecting bounce; sells at resistance pivots (R1, R2, R3) expecting pullback

United Kingdom Market Details

Primary Instruments FTSE 100 index, UK single stocks (BP, HSBA, VOD, BARC, AZN, SHEL, RIO)
Fca Compliance Standard trading; appropriate for retail traders
Contract Size £10 per point for FTSE 100 CFDs/spread bets; varies for stocks
Trading Hours LSE: 8:00 AM - 4:30 PM GMT; pivots calculated from previous session
Pivot Calculation Based on previous day's High, Low, Close for daily pivots
Settlement CFDs and spread bets settle daily
Spread Betting Tax-free profits for UK residents - ideal for pivot trading
Stamp Duty 0.5% on share purchases; exempt for CFDs, spread bets
Session Times Daily pivots reset at midnight or market close depending on calculation

Frequently Asked Questions

When do I calculate pivot points?

Calculate pivot points before the market opens using the previous day's (or week's for weekly pivots) High, Low, and Close. For FTSE, calculate after 4:30 PM close or before 8:00 AM open. Most charting platforms calculate these automatically.

Which pivot type should I start with?

Start with Classic (Floor) pivots. They're the most widely used and have balanced level spacing. Once comfortable, experiment with Fibonacci (wider) or Camarilla (tighter) to see which suits your instruments and trading style.

Do I trade at every pivot level touch?

No! Wait for confirmation - a reversal candle pattern (hammer, engulfing) or oscillator extreme (RSI < 30 at support). Price can easily slice through pivots without bouncing. Confirmation filters out weak setups.

What's a good target for pivot trades?

The safest target is the Central Pivot (PP) for trades from S1/R1. From S2/R2, you can target S1/R1 or PP. The next pivot level in your direction is always a logical target. More aggressive traders target two levels away.

How do I know if a pivot will hold?

You don't know for certain - that's why we use stops. However, confluence (multiple timeframe pivots at same level), trend alignment (with-trend trades), and confirmation signals all increase the probability of a pivot holding.

How do I combine daily and weekly pivots?

Calculate both daily and weekly pivots. When a daily pivot (like S1) is near a weekly pivot (like weekly PP), you have confluence - a stronger level. Trade these confluence zones with more confidence and potentially larger size.

What's the difference between Camarilla and Classic pivots?

Camarilla pivots are tighter (closer together) because they use smaller multipliers. You get more touches but smaller bounces. Classic pivots are wider, fewer touches but more significant when reached. Use Camarilla in low volatility, Classic normally.

Should I trade against the trend at pivot levels?

Generally avoid it. Buying at S1 in a downtrend is catching a falling knife. Either trade only with-trend pivots (buy support in uptrends) or accept lower win rates for counter-trend trades with tighter stops.

How do I handle pivots on gap days?

Large gaps often break multiple pivot levels. On gap days, wait to see if the gap fills or extends. If extending, trade pivot breakouts. If filling, the gap fill target may override pivot targets. Gap days are often trending days - favor breakouts.

Can pivots be used for swing trading?

Yes! Weekly and monthly pivots are excellent for swing trading. They're stronger and hold more reliably than daily pivots. A trade off weekly S2 might target weekly PP over several days. Use daily pivots for entry timing within the weekly level.

How do I adapt pivots to different volatility regimes?

In high volatility, use wider pivot types (Fibonacci) and focus on S2/R2 and S3/R3 as S1/R1 get easily breached. In low volatility, use Camarilla for tighter levels. Alternatively, ATR-scale standard pivot distances. Track VFTSE to identify regime.

What's the optimal approach for pivot options trades?

Credit spreads work well - sell put spread at support pivots (bull put spread) or call spread at resistance (bear call spread). Short strike at the pivot level you expect to hold. This profits from both direction and time decay if pivot holds.

How do I backtest pivot strategies properly?

Calculate pivots using only prior period data (no look-ahead). Test multiple pivot types. Include confirmation requirements. Test across regimes (ranging vs trending). Use walk-forward validation. Track by level (S1 vs S2) to identify which are most reliable.

How do I build a systematic pivot portfolio?

Morning scan: Calculate pivots for universe, identify instruments near levels. Score setups (confluence, confirmation, trend). Rank and allocate capital to top setups. Manage concurrent positions and sector exposure. Track performance by level and instrument.

When do failed reversals become breakout signals?

When price breaks through a pivot you expected to hold (stopping you out), this often signals momentum. The failed support becomes resistance. Reverse your position to trade in the breakout direction, using the broken pivot as your stop. Failed breakouts work similarly in reverse.

Related Strategies

Support/Resistance Trading
Fibonacci Retracement
Mean Reversion Oscillators
RSI
Candlestick Patterns
Trend Filter (MA)
Volume Analysis

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