Profits from reading raw price movements, patterns, and market structure
| Strategy Type | Discretionary / Pure Price Analysis |
| Market Outlook | Profits from reading raw price movements, patterns, and market structure |
| Risk Profile | Defined by price structure (swing highs/lows) |
| Reward Profile | Target based on measured moves, structure, or trailing |
| Time Horizon | Scalping to swing (minutes to days) |
| Iv Environment | Works across all environments; adapts to volatility |
| Breakeven | Price moves in anticipated direction beyond entry costs |
| Primary Instruments | FTSE 100 Futures (Z - ICE, FFI - Eurex), UK100 CFD, US index futures (ES, NQ), Commodities (CL, GC) |
| Fca Compliance | Futures require appropriate categorisation; professional or retail with risk warnings |
| Contract Specifications | £10 per point, quarterly expiry • £10 per point, monthly/quarterly expiry • Varies by broker, typically £1-£10 per point |
| Trading Hours | 01:00 - 21:00 GMT (electronic) • 08:00 - 16:30 GMT (LSE) • Near 24-hour for US futures |
| Price Action Context | Clean price reading without indicator dependency |
| Settlement | Daily mark-to-market; final cash settlement at expiry |
| Margin Requirements | Initial margin ~5-10% of notional |
| Liquidity Consideration | Focus on cash session for cleaner price action |
No - pure price action uses only price (candlesticks, structure, levels). Some PA traders add a moving average for trend context or volume for confirmation, but indicators aren't required. The philosophy is that price shows everything you need.
It depends on your style. Scalpers use 1-5 minute. Day traders use 15m-1H with 4H for context. Swing traders use 4H-Daily. Start with higher timeframes (4H) - patterns are cleaner and less noisy than lower timeframes.
Look for areas where price previously reversed - swing highs become resistance, swing lows become support. The more times price reacted at a level, the stronger it is. Mark zones rather than exact lines. Focus on obvious levels that stand out.
Pin bar: Single candle with long wick rejecting prices, small body at opposite end. Shows rejection. Engulfing: Two candles where the second completely engulfs the first, showing momentum shift. Both signal reversals at key levels.
Quality over quantity. On average, 1-3 high-quality setups per market per day is typical. Some days have no setups - don't force trades. Wait for price to come to your levels with clear patterns. Overtrading is a common PA mistake.
True breakouts typically have: strong candle close beyond level, increased volume, momentum in breakout direction. False breakouts have: weak candle (long wick), low volume, quick reversal back. Wait for confirmation - don't chase the initial break.
Top-down: Start with daily for overall trend, 4H for structure and key levels, 1H for intraday bias, 15m for entry triggers. Trade in direction of higher TF structure. Enter on lower TF patterns at higher TF levels.
Stops should be based on structure, not arbitrary distances. Place stop where setup is invalidated - beyond the swing/pattern that defines your entry. Add small buffer for noise. In volatile conditions, use wider structure points.
Higher timeframe wins. If daily is uptrend but 1H is making lower lows, either: 1) Wait for 1H to realign with daily, or 2) Recognise potential trend change developing. Don't fight the higher TF structure with lower TF trades.
Counter-trend reversal trades are lower probability. Only take them at major confluence zones with strong PA patterns. Keep size smaller, take quick profits. Better to trade with-trend pullbacks for higher probability setups.
Use order flow to confirm PA signals. Bullish pattern at support + positive delta + absorption = strong. Bullish pattern + negative delta = caution. Order flow shows the mechanics behind price movement. Don't trade PA patterns that lack order flow support.
Define objective rules: specific swing point criteria, level identification rules, exact pattern definitions (measurements), entry/exit rules. Code these rules and test on historical data. Challenge is maintaining PA nuance while being systematic.
Trending: Trade pullbacks, continuation patterns. Ranging: Fade extremes, reversal patterns. Volatile: Wider stops, smaller size, exhaustion signals. Low vol: Fewer trades, wait for breakouts. Read conditions and adapt approach.
Scale in at better prices when structure confirms. Scale out at structure levels (partials at 1R, 2R). Trail using swing points. Read ongoing PA for management clues. Exit portions if PA weakens. Let runners run with trail.
Before each trade, explicitly ask: 'What PA would tell me I'm wrong?' If you're bullish, look for bearish PA that could invalidate. Keep an open mind. Mark both bullish AND bearish scenarios. Let price prove your bias rather than assuming it.
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