Profits from price reactions at mathematically derived pivot levels
| Strategy Type | Support-Resistance / Calculated Levels |
| Market Outlook | Profits from price reactions at mathematically derived pivot levels |
| Risk Profile | Defined by stop beyond pivot level |
| Reward Profile | Target is next pivot level or multiple R:R |
| Time Horizon | Intraday to swing (pivot refresh period dependent) |
| Iv Environment | Works across volatility environments; best in normal conditions |
| Breakeven | Price moves beyond entry level enough to cover costs |
| Primary Instruments | FTSE 100 Futures (Z - ICE, FFI - Eurex), UK100 CFD futures, US index futures (ES, NQ) |
| Fca Compliance | Futures require appropriate categorisation; professional or retail with risk warnings |
| Contract Specifications | £10 per point, quarterly expiry (Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec) • £10 per point, monthly/quarterly expiry • Varies by broker, typically £1-£10 per point |
| Trading Hours | 01:00 - 21:00 GMT (electronic) • 08:00 - 16:30 GMT (LSE) • Near 24-hour for US futures |
| Pivot Calculation | Use previous session high, low, close; session choice affects levels |
| Settlement | Daily mark-to-market; final cash settlement at expiry |
| Margin Requirements | Initial margin ~5-10% of notional; maintenance margin lower |
| Roll Consideration | Pivot levels may shift at contract roll |
Start with Standard (Floor Trader) pivots - they're most widely used and understood. Formula: PP = (H+L+C)/3. Once comfortable, test Fibonacci or Camarilla to see if they suit your instrument better. Most traders find Standard works well for FTSE futures.
For FTSE futures, using cash session HLC (08:00-16:30 GMT) often produces cleaner levels since this is when primary volume occurs. Electronic session includes overnight moves which may distort levels. Start with cash session and test both.
If price gaps through S1 or R1 at open, that level may act as resistance/support on retest. For example, gap below S1 - price may rally back to S1 which now acts as resistance. Wait for reaction at the level rather than chasing.
Focus on PP and the first levels (S1, R1) initially. These are tested most frequently. S2/R2 are reached on bigger moves. S3/R3 are rarely reached except on extreme days. Master S1/R1/PP before worrying about outer levels.
Pivot levels work best on liquid, widely-traded futures (FTSE, ES, DAX, NQ). Less liquid contracts may not respect pivots as cleanly. The more eyes watching a level, the more likely it is to cause a reaction.
When price consolidates between levels (e.g., between S1 and PP), wait for a break of one level. A break above PP targets R1. A break below S1 targets S2. Don't force trades in consolidation - let price show direction.
Bounce: Price touches pivot, shows rejection (candle, RSI extreme), reverses. Breakout: Price closes beyond pivot with momentum and volume. The key is confirmation - price action tells you which is occurring. False breakouts are possible.
Weekly pivots provide context rather than entry levels for day trading. If daily S1 aligns with weekly S1, that support is stronger. Use daily pivots for entries, weekly for understanding which daily levels are most significant.
You can't know for certain, which is why confirmation is essential. Factors favoring hold: first touch, strong reversal candle, RSI extreme, high volume rejection, trend alignment. Factors favoring break: multiple prior tests, momentum into level, volume continuing through.
Yes - where different formulas produce similar levels, you have confluence. If Standard S1 = 7497 and Fibonacci S1 = 7500, the zone 7497-7500 is supported by both calculations. Confluence zones are stronger.
Define: pivot formula, session HLC, entry rules (level + confirmation), stop placement, target levels, position sizing. Backtest across regimes. Walk-forward validate. Implement with alerts or automation. Track performance by level, time, regime.
At support (S1/S2): Bull put spread (sell put at support, buy lower put) collects credit if support holds. At resistance (R1/R2): Bear call spread. For directional: Long call at support, long put at resistance. Match expiry to expected move timing.
High volatility: Price may overshoot S1/R1 and reach S2/R2. Use outer levels for entries, wider stops. Expect larger moves between levels. Reduce position size (larger adverse moves possible). First test may fail - wait for overshoot reversal.
CPR creates a zone rather than a single line. This is more realistic - fair value is a zone, not a point. CPR width forecasts day type (narrow = trending, wide = ranging). Virgin CPR identifies unfilled zones. More nuanced than single PP.
Daily: Calculate pivots for all markets. Scan for setups at key levels. Rank by confluence (multi-TF, VWAP alignment). Manage correlation (limit correlated positions). Allocate capital equally or by volatility. Track performance by market to identify which respect pivots best.
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