Swing Trading System

Futures / Swing Trading Intermediate Singapore FTSE 100 Index Futures FTSE 250 Futures UK100 CFD UK Equity Index ETFs

Captures multi-day to multi-week price swings

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Quick Reference

Strategy Type Swing Trading / Position Trading
Market Outlook Captures multi-day to multi-week price swings
Risk Profile Moderate with wider stops for overnight holding
Reward Profile Larger moves (100-500+ points) over several days/weeks
Time Horizon 2-20 trading days typical
Iv Environment N/A - Futures/Index based
Breakeven Win rate × Avg win > Loss rate × Avg loss + Carry costs

Payoff Profile

Asymmetric returns - moderate losses, larger gains

Singapore Market Details

Primary Instruments FTSE 100 Futures, FTSE 250 Futures, UK100 CFD, iShares FTSE 100 ETF (ISF)
Mas Compliance MAS regulated brokers required for futures/CFD trading
Trading Hours Analysis on Daily/H4 charts; execution during London session
Contract Size FTSE 100 Futures: £10 per point; Mini: £2 per point
Settlement Cash settled; overnight financing for CFDs
Tax Treatment No capital gains tax for individuals in Singapore
Margin Requirements Overnight margin higher than day trading margin
Cdp Account Not required for futures/CFD; custody with broker
Singapore Relevance Swing trading suits Singapore investors - less screen time required, analysis outside market hours, captures larger UK market moves

Frequently Asked Questions

What is swing trading?

Trading style capturing multi-day to multi-week price movements. Holds overnight unlike day trading. Typical holding period 2-20 days. Aims for 100-500+ point moves. Requires only 1-2 hours daily analysis.

What timeframe should I use?

Primary: Daily chart for trend and setup identification. Secondary: H4 for entry timing. Context: Weekly for major trend. Daily is where you make trading decisions, H4 helps with precise entry.

How wide should swing stops be?

Typically 50-150 points for FTSE. Based on swing structure (below swing low) or ATR (2.5× ATR). Wider than intraday to survive overnight moves and daily fluctuations. Size positions accordingly.

How many trades per month?

Typically 4-10 swing trades per month. Quality over quantity. Wait for good setups rather than forcing trades. More trades isn't better if setup quality drops.

Is swing trading good for Singapore timezone?

Excellent fit. Analyze after UK market closes (9-10 PM SGT). Place orders before London open (3-4 PM SGT). Only need 1-2 hours daily. Compatible with full-time job.

What is multiple timeframe analysis?

Using Weekly (context), Daily (setups), H4 (entries) together. Weekly shows major trend and levels. Daily identifies swing setups. H4 fine-tunes entry timing. All should align for best probability.

How do I use RSI for swing entries?

In uptrend: RSI dips to 40-45 area is 'oversold'. Wait for RSI to turn up, combined with price at support. In downtrend: RSI rallies to 55-60 area is 'overbought'. Watch for RSI divergence as warning.

What is portfolio heat?

Total open risk across all positions. If 3 positions each risking 1.5%, total heat is 4.5%. Maximum recommended: 5-8%. Prevents catastrophic loss if multiple positions stopped simultaneously.

How do I trail swing positions?

Swing trail: Move stop below each new higher low (longs). ATR trail: Stop at 3× ATR from highest point. MA trail: Exit on close below 20 MA. Choose method and apply consistently.

What is support/resistance flip?

Broken resistance often becomes support (and vice versa). After breakout, price may pull back to test the broken level. Entry on successful retest is high probability setup with tight stop.

What is market regime analysis?

Identifying current market state: Trending (good for swings), Ranging (reduce swings), Volatile (smaller size). Use ADX > 25 for trending. Adapt strategy and position size to current regime.

How do I manage correlation risk?

Multiple similar positions = concentrated risk. Three FTSE positions aren't diversified. Track correlation between positions. Reduce combined position size for correlated trades. Diversify across uncorrelated setups.

What is walk-forward optimization?

Optimize parameters on 3 years (in-sample), test on 1 year (out-of-sample), roll forward. Prevents curve-fitting to historical data. Parameters must work on unseen data to be valid.

How do I handle gap risk?

Accept as part of swing trading. Position size accounts for worst-case gap. If gap beyond stop, exit at market (don't hope). Consider reducing before known events. Typical gaps 0.5-1%.

What metrics should I track?

Win rate (45-55%), Profit Factor (>1.5), Average R:R (>1.5), Max Drawdown (<15%), Sharpe Ratio (>1.0). Analyze by: setup type, market regime, entry method. Track in database, review monthly.

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