Point & Figure

Trend Following Strategies Intermediate Singapore STI DBS OCBC UOB SINGTEL SGX Stocks ETFs

Works Best in Trending Markets

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Quick Reference

Strategy Type Trend Following / Price-Only Chart System
Market Outlook Works Best in Trending Markets
Risk Profile Defined by Box Size and Reversal Amount
Reward Profile Price Targets via Count Methods
Time Horizon Swing Trading to Position Trading
Indicator Type Point & Figure Chart (X's and O's)
Signal Type Buy on Double Top Breakout; Sell on Double Bottom Breakdown

Singapore Market Details

Primary Instruments STI ETF, DBS, OCBC, UOB, SINGTEL, CapitaLand, Keppel
Trading Hours 9:00 AM - 5:00 PM SGT
Recommended Timeframes P&F ignores time; Use daily high/low for box calculation
Currency SGD
Default Settings 3-box reversal; Box size S$0.10-S$0.50 for blue chips or ATR-based
Liquidity Note Use on liquid stocks for reliable pattern formation
Typical Holding Period Variable - depends on trend duration, typically 2-12 weeks

Frequently Asked Questions

What box size should I use?

Start with ATR-based sizing: ATR(14) / 2 or / 3. For SGX blue chips, S$0.20-S$0.50 works well. If you see too many columns, increase box size. If you miss moves, decrease it.

Why is there no time axis on P&F?

P&F focuses purely on price movement. New columns form based on price reversals, not time. This filters noise and shows only significant price action. Days or weeks can pass in a single column.

What's the difference between 3-box and 1-box reversal?

3-box reversal requires price to move 3 boxes in opposite direction to change columns (standard). 1-box reversal changes columns on every reversal (more sensitive). Use 3-box for swing trading, 1-box for short-term.

How do I know when to enter a trade?

Enter on confirmed breakouts: Double top buy = X exceeds previous X column high. Wait for the breakout box to complete before entering to confirm the signal.

Where should I place my stop-loss?

Place stop below the pattern low (lowest O in recent columns) or below the bullish support line. This gives the trade room while protecting against major reversals.

How do I calculate price targets?

Vertical Count: Target = Breakout + (Column Count × Box Size × Reversal). Horizontal Count: Target = Breakout + (Pattern Width × Box Size × Reversal). Use vertical for impulse moves, horizontal for consolidations.

What's the difference between Double Top and Triple Top?

Double Top = X exceeds ONE previous X column high. Triple Top = X exceeds TWO previous X column highs. Triple Top is a stronger signal indicating more resistance has been overcome.

How do I draw trend lines on P&F?

Bullish support: 45° line from significant low (one right, one up). Bearish resistance: 45° line from significant high (one right, one down). These provide objective trend guidance.

Can I use P&F with regular charts?

Yes! Use P&F for signals and price targets, regular charts for volume and time context. A P&F breakout with high volume on regular chart is high conviction.

What is a Catapult pattern?

Catapult = Triple top breakout + pullback + another breakout. It confirms the initial breakout and is a high-probability signal. The pullback holds above previous lows, then breaks out again.

How do I use Bullish Percent Index?

Calculate % of stocks on P&F buy signals. Above 70% = overbought, expect pullback. Below 30% = oversold, expect bounce. Between 30-70% is neutral. Use for market timing and sector rotation.

What is Relative Strength P&F?

Create P&F chart of stock/index ratio. X columns = stock outperforming. O columns = underperforming. Breakouts identify relative leaders before absolute breakouts.

How do I identify Fulcrum patterns?

Fulcrum Bottom: Wide base with multiple tests of same low. Fulcrum Top: Wide top with multiple tests of same high. These are major patterns indicating significant accumulation/distribution. Use horizontal count for large targets.

What is High/Low Pole Warning?

Long column (extended move) followed by 50%+ retracement of that column. High Pole = exhaustion after rally, take profits. Low Pole = capitulation after decline, watch for reversal.

How should I size options trades with P&F?

Use longer DTE (60-90 days) since P&F patterns develop slowly. Use P&F price targets for spread strike selection. P&F support/resistance levels work well for short strike placement in credit spreads.

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