Directional - Long when RSI shows bullish momentum, Short when bearish momentum
| Strategy Type | Momentum / Trend Following |
| Market Outlook | Directional - Long when RSI shows bullish momentum, Short when bearish momentum |
| Risk Profile | Moderate Risk (ATR-based or swing-based stops) |
| Reward Profile | 1.5:1 to 3:1 Risk-Reward typical |
| Time Horizon | Short to Medium-term (Days to Weeks) |
| Iv Environment | Works best in trending markets with sustained momentum |
| Breakeven | Entry Price ± Spread + Slippage |
| Primary Instruments | Brent Crude CFDs through MAS-licensed brokers with RSI indicator |
| Mas Compliance | MAS regulated; retail trading permitted with licensed broker holding CMS license |
| Contract Size | 100-1,000 barrels for CFDs; flexible sizing available |
| Trading Hours | Nearly 24 hours; best signals during London (3 PM - 11 PM SGT) and US sessions (9 PM - 4 AM SGT) |
| Expiry Options | CFDs preferred (no expiry); continuous indicator calculation |
| Settlement | Cash settlement for CFDs; instant profit/loss realization |
| Tax Treatment | No capital gains tax for individuals in Singapore; trading income may be taxable if deemed business |
| Stamp Duty | No stamp duty on commodities derivatives |
| Cdp Account | Not required for commodities; trading account with licensed broker sufficient |
The standard 14-period RSI works well for Brent on 4-hour and Daily timeframes. Some traders use 7-period for faster signals (more trades, more noise) or 21-period for smoother signals (fewer trades, less noise). Start with 14 and adjust based on experience.
Not automatically. RSI below 30 shows strong downward momentum, not necessarily a buy signal. In downtrends, RSI can stay oversold for extended periods. Better approach: Wait for RSI to cross back ABOVE 50 for long entries, confirming momentum shift.
On 4-hour Brent charts, RSI momentum trades typically last 3-15 days. The trade continues while RSI stays on the right side of 50. Shorter for mean-reverting conditions, longer for strong trends.
RSI is bounded (0-100), making extremes easy to identify. MACD is unbounded, better for trend direction. RSI shows momentum strength; MACD shows trend acceleration. Many traders use both - RSI for entry timing, MACD for trend confirmation.
RSI centerline crosses can whipsaw in ranging/choppy markets. Solutions: Add ADX filter (only trade RSI when ADX > 20-25), use higher timeframe alignment, or require price confirmation (higher lows for longs, lower highs for shorts).
Don't trade divergence alone - it's a warning, not an entry signal. Wait for price confirmation: after bearish divergence, wait for price to break support or RSI to cross below 50. Divergence at key support/resistance is more reliable than in mid-range.
In uptrends, RSI stays in 40-80 zone. Buy pullbacks when RSI reaches 40-50 area. In downtrends, RSI stays in 20-60 zone. Sell rallies when RSI reaches 50-60 area. Zone failure (RSI breaking these ranges) warns of trend change.
Use Daily RSI for direction: Daily > 50 = only take 4H long signals. Daily < 50 = only take 4H short signals. This filters out counter-trend trades that have lower win rates. Enter on 4H RSI crossing 50 in the Daily direction.
Depends on your style: Conservative: Exit on divergence warning. Standard: Exit when RSI crosses back through 50. Aggressive: Hold until opposite extreme (30 for longs, 70 for shorts). Hybrid: Exit 50% at first target, trail remainder with RSI 50 as stop.
Add filters: ADX > 20-25 confirms trending (take RSI signals). ADX < 20 suggests ranging (avoid RSI signals or reduce size). Also check if RSI is oscillating tightly around 50 without clear directional moves - sign of chop.
Components: (1) RSI calculation using Wilder's smoothing, (2) Centerline cross detection with state tracking, (3) Optional divergence detection using peak/trough algorithm, (4) Position sizing based on ATR, (5) Exit logic for centerline recross or divergence. Test across multiple regimes with walk-forward optimization.
Adaptive RSI adjusts the lookback period based on market conditions. In high volatility, use shorter period (faster signals). In low volatility, use longer period (avoid noise). Methods: ATR-based adjustment, volatility percentile ranking, or machine learning optimization.
Strong trending RSI (staying in 40-80 or 20-60) = directional strategies (long calls/puts, vertical spreads). RSI choppy around 50 = premium selling (iron condors, strangles). RSI at extreme with divergence = buy options for reversal play with defined risk.
RSI range shift identifies trend changes before centerline cross. Watch for RSI moving from bearish zone (20-60) to bullish zone (40-80) or vice versa. The zone transition is the signal - it may occur before RSI crosses 50, giving earlier entry.
Allocate 20-30% of trend-following capital to RSI momentum. Limit to 2-3 simultaneous oil RSI positions. Count correlated instruments (Brent, WTI) as single exposure. Track performance by signal type (centerline cross vs divergence). Adjust allocation based on recent trendiness of market.
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