Point & Figure

Technical Systems Advanced Canada XIU XIC ZSP SPY QQQ Individual Stocks Futures Forex

Identifies support/resistance, breakouts, and price targets

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Quick Reference

Strategy Type Price-Based Trend and Breakout System
Market Outlook Identifies support/resistance, breakouts, and price targets
Risk Profile Defined by box reversal; typically 2-4% per trade
Reward Profile Clear price targets; captures major moves
Time Horizon Swing to position trading (weeks to months)
Best Conditions Trending markets with defined support/resistance levels
Indicator Basis Price-only X and O columns with box size and reversal criteria

Canada Market Details

Primary Instruments XIU, XIC (index ETFs); Major banks (RY, TD, BMO); ZSP (S&P 500)
Trading Hours 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
Settlement T+1 for stocks and ETFs
Tax Treatment Capital gains 50% inclusion rate
Tfsa Eligibility YES - Stock/ETF trading permitted
Rrsp Eligibility YES - Stock/ETF trading permitted
Commission Consideration Lower frequency trading; commission impact minimal
Currency Note Consider CAD/USD exposure for US-listed instruments
Liquidity Note Works well with liquid Canadian securities

Frequently Asked Questions

What's the difference between 1-box and 3-box reversal?

1-box reversal starts a new column with just one box of opposite movement (more sensitive, more columns). 3-box reversal requires 3 boxes of opposite movement (filters more noise, fewer columns). 3-box is standard and recommended for most traders.

How do I know what box size to use?

Start with ATR-based box size (14-period ATR value) which automatically adapts to volatility. Alternatively, use traditional scaling (e.g., $0.50 for $20-40 stocks, $1.00 for $40-100). Test different sizes to find what works for your timeframe.

Why do P&F charts look so different from regular charts?

P&F removes time completely and only plots significant price movement. The X and O columns replace candlesticks, and only moves meeting the box size criteria appear. This creates a cleaner view of supply/demand.

Can I use P&F in my TFSA?

Yes, P&F-based trading is suitable for TFSA accounts. The strategy typically involves longer holding periods (weeks to months), which is ideal for registered accounts.

Do I need special software for P&F charts?

Many charting platforms support P&F, including TradingView (free), ThinkorSwim, and StockCharts.com. Some brokers also offer P&F charting. You can even construct P&F manually with price data.

How accurate are P&F price targets?

First targets from vertical or horizontal counts are fairly reliable (often reached 60-70% of the time in trending markets). Extended targets are less reliable. Always use stops - exit if a reversal signal occurs before target is reached.

Which is better: Vertical or Horizontal count?

Vertical count works better after a clear reversal from consolidation. Horizontal count works better for breakouts from extended consolidation patterns. Many traders calculate both and use the more conservative estimate.

How do I combine P&F with regular candlestick charts?

Use P&F for: signal identification, S/R levels, price targets. Use candlestick charts for: actual entry prices, stop placement, volume analysis, gap checking. Keep both charts open when trading.

Why is the Catapult pattern considered most reliable?

The Catapult confirms a breakout in three ways: 1) Initial triple top breakout shows demand, 2) Pullback that holds proves old resistance is now support, 3) New high shows momentum continues. This multi-confirmation makes it highly reliable.

How do I draw 45° trendlines correctly?

For bullish support: start at a significant O column low, draw up at 45° (one box up for each column to the right). For bearish resistance: start at X column high, draw down at 45°. Use these as trend filters.

How do I build a systematic P&F scanner?

Scan for: recent breakouts (double/triple top in last 1-2 columns), trendline position (above bullish support), target potential (>10% to calculated target). Rank by pattern strength, relative strength, and volume. Most platforms require custom scripting.

How do Relative Strength P&F charts improve analysis?

RS P&F compares stock performance to an index. A stock giving a buy signal while RS is also positive (rising) indicates strength in a strong stock. This dual confirmation increases success rate. RS can also identify sector leadership.

What's the difference between Fulcrum and Saucer patterns?

Fulcrum is a defined consolidation with a U-shaped bottom and clear boundaries. Saucer is a gradual, extended rounding with no clear structure. Both suggest accumulation, but Fulcrum has clearer breakout points.

How do I adapt P&F for day trading?

Use 1-box reversal instead of 3-box for more sensitivity. Use smaller box sizes (e.g., 0.25-0.5× ATR). Build P&F from intraday data (1-min or 5-min). Accept that signals will still lag compared to candlesticks.

What's the typical win rate for P&F systems?

Well-designed P&F systems (triple tops, catapults, trendline filters) typically achieve 50-60% win rates. Profitability comes from the price target methodology - winners often exceed targets while stops limit losers. Expect higher R-multiples than win rate alone suggests.

Related Strategies

Renko Breakout Donchian Channel
Support/Resistance Trading
Volume Analysis
Moving Averages
RSI

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