Identifies trend direction with built-in trailing stop that accelerates as trend progresses
| Strategy Type | Trend-Following Stop-and-Reverse System Using Parabolic Time/Price Indicator |
| Market Outlook | Identifies trend direction with built-in trailing stop that accelerates as trend progresses |
| Risk Profile | Medium (clear entry/exit points; always in the market with stop-and-reverse) |
| Reward Profile | 2:1 to 4:1 riding trends with tightening stops |
| Time Horizon | Day trading to swing trading (hours to weeks) |
| Iv Environment | Works best in trending markets; struggles in choppy/ranging conditions |
| Breakeven | Win rate >40% with trend trades capturing large moves compensates for whipsaws |
| Primary Instruments | SXF (S&P/TSX 60 Index Futures), CGB (10-Year Government of Canada Bond Futures), BAX (Bankers' Acceptance Futures) |
| Iiroc Compliance | Fully compliant; standard futures trading |
| Contract Size | SXF: $200 × Index; CGB: $100,000 face value; BAX: $1,000,000 notional |
| Trading Hours | SXF: 6:00 PM - 4:15 PM ET (Sun-Fri); CGB: 6:00 PM - 5:00 PM ET |
| Expiry Options | Quarterly expiries (March, June, September, December) |
| Settlement | SXF: Cash settled; CGB: Physical delivery; BAX: Cash settled |
| Options Exchange | Montreal Exchange (MX) |
| Margin Requirements | Initial margin varies by contract; check MX specifications |
| Capital Gains Tax | 50% inclusion rate for futures gains |
| Tfsa Eligibility | Futures NOT eligible for TFSA |
| Rrsp Eligibility | Futures NOT eligible for RRSP |
The Acceleration Factor increases each time price makes a new high (uptrend) or low (downtrend), causing SAR to accelerate toward price. This creates a curved path that gets steeper over time, resembling a parabola. It's designed to tighten your stop as the trend matures.
Not necessarily. The classic 'stop and reverse' approach works in trending markets but causes whipsaws in ranges. Many traders use SAR for exits only (without reversing) or add filters before reversing. Match your approach to market conditions.
SAR works on all timeframes. Daily is common for swing trading. 1H-4H for active trading. 15M for day trading. Lower timeframes give more signals but more whipsaws. Higher timeframes give smoother signals but less frequent.
If you're consistently getting stopped out, you're likely in a ranging/choppy market where SAR generates whipsaws. Either: 1) Add filters (ADX, HTF), 2) Widen parameters (lower AF), 3) Switch to exit-only mode, or 4) Wait for trending market.
SAR's trailing stop accelerates over time due to the Acceleration Factor. A regular trailing stop (like X ATR below price) stays at constant distance. SAR starts far and tightens; it's time-aware. Regular trailing stops are purely price-based.
Start with standard (0.02/0.02/0.20). For volatile markets, use conservative (0.01/0.01/0.10). For fast-moving trends, use aggressive (0.025/0.025/0.25). Backtest on your specific market. The key is AF Max - lower keeps SAR further from price.
Yes! Some traders use aggressive SAR (tight) for entry signals and conservative SAR (wide) for trailing stops. This catches trends early but gives them room. You'd need two SAR indicators with different settings.
Gap opens can cause immediate SAR flips. Options: 1) Wait for first 15-30 minutes before acting, 2) Use confirmation (don't enter until SAR confirmed post-gap), 3) Use hard max-loss stop in addition to SAR, 4) Reduce overnight exposure.
Yes, but use conservative parameters. Bonds trend more smoothly but can have sudden moves on rate announcements. Consider 0.015/0.015/0.15 or even lower. Also be aware of economic calendar for rate decision dates.
SAR flip near key S/R level is stronger signal. For example, SAR flips bullish right after breaking above resistance = strong. SAR flips into major resistance overhead = be cautious. Use S/R for context, SAR for timing.
Calculate current ATR percentile (vs last 100 periods). When ATR high (>70th percentile), use lower AF Max (0.10-0.15). When ATR low (<30th percentile), use higher AF Max (0.20-0.25). This adapts stops to volatility regime. Backtest thoroughly.
Use SAR for trend and stops; use momentum (RSI, MACD) for timing. Example: SAR flip + RSI not yet overbought = enter. SAR in uptrend + RSI divergence = prepare for exit before SAR flip. Momentum gives early warning of exhaustion.
Options: 1) Flatten before major news (NFP, FOMC, BoC), 2) Use hard max-loss stop in addition to SAR, 3) Widen SAR parameters before news, 4) Don't enter on SAR flip that occurs during news. Resume normal after volatility settles.
Not directly - SAR is trend-following. But you can use SAR flips as mean reversion signals in ranges: when SAR flips multiple times quickly (whipsawing), it indicates a range. Trade the range instead, using SAR flip levels as range boundaries.
Backtest over 3-5 years with various parameter combinations. Optimize for profit factor or Sharpe, not just total return. Walk-forward test to validate. Each contract (SXF, CGB, BAX) may have different optimal parameters based on their volatility and trend characteristics.
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