Trend-following with momentum confirmation
| Strategy Type | Momentum and Trend Following Using Moving Average Convergence Divergence |
| Market Outlook | Trend-following with momentum confirmation |
| Risk Profile | Low-Medium (widely used, well-understood signals) |
| Reward Profile | 1.5:1 to 3:1 capturing momentum-driven moves |
| Time Horizon | Swing trading (5-30 days typical) |
| Iv Environment | Works across volatility environments; best in trending markets |
| Breakeven | Win rate >45% with 2:1 R:R achieves profitability |
| Primary Instruments | TSX 60 constituents, XIU ETF, sector ETFs, liquid Canadian stocks |
| Iiroc Compliance | Fully compliant; standard equity trading |
| Contract Size | Standard 100-share board lots |
| Trading Hours | 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET |
| Expiry Options | N/A - equity positions with no expiration |
| Settlement | T+1 for equities (effective May 2024) |
| Options Exchange | Montreal Exchange (MX) for options overlay |
| Capital Gains Tax | 50% inclusion rate; swing trading generates capital gains |
| Tfsa Eligibility | Fully eligible for Canadian equities and ETFs |
| Rrsp Eligibility | Fully permitted; swing trading acceptable |
The MACD line is the 12 EMA minus the 26 EMA - it shows current momentum. The signal line is a 9-period EMA of the MACD line - it's smoother and used for generating crossover signals. Crossovers between them create buy/sell signals.
No. Filter crossovers with context: prefer when MACD is also above zero (bullish bias), when histogram is growing, and when price action confirms. Random crossovers in ranging markets produce whipsaws.
The histogram shows the SPEED at which MACD and signal are converging or diverging. Growing bars = momentum increasing; shrinking bars = momentum decreasing. It gives earlier warning of potential crossovers.
When MACD is above zero, the 12 EMA is above the 26 EMA - overall bullish. When below zero - bearish. The zero line crossover is a stronger signal than the signal line crossover because it represents an actual moving average crossover.
Daily charts work best for swing trading with standard 12/26/9 settings. For day trading, use shorter timeframes with faster settings (e.g., 8/17/9). For position trading, use weekly charts or slower settings.
Look for price making new highs/lows while MACD makes the opposite. Bullish divergence: price lower low, MACD higher low. Bearish divergence: price higher high, MACD lower high. Wait for signal line crossover to confirm before trading.
Faster settings (8/17/9) give more signals but more whipsaws - suited for active trading. Slower settings (19/39/9) give fewer, stronger signals - suited for position trading. Match settings to your trading style and timeframe.
Use filters: require ADX > 25 (trend exists), require MACD above/below zero (direction), check that histogram is not tiny (weak momentum), and use higher timeframe confirmation. Skip signals when histogram oscillates around zero.
Regular divergence signals REVERSAL. Hidden divergence signals CONTINUATION. Hidden bullish: price higher low but MACD lower low = buy the dip. Hidden bearish: price lower high but MACD higher high = sell the rally.
Use RSI for overbought/oversold, MACD for momentum. Best signals: MACD bullish crossover with RSI oversold (<30), or MACD bearish crossover with RSI overbought (>70). This combines momentum with mean reversion.
Define exact rules: entry (crossover + filters), exit (opposite cross or stops), position sizing. Test on 5+ years data. Check parameter sensitivity (test 10-14 for fast EMA). Separate trending vs ranging period performance. Walk-forward validate.
It's the rate of change of the histogram - how fast the histogram is growing or shrinking. Positive acceleration = histogram growing faster (momentum increasing). Negative acceleration = histogram slowing. Can provide very early signals.
Connect MACD peaks (downtrend line) or troughs (uptrend line). MACD breaking its own trendline often precedes price breaking its trendline. This provides early signal of momentum change before price confirms.
Strong MACD signals (zero cross, divergence) with clear momentum = directional options (buy calls/puts). Ranging MACD near zero = premium selling strategies (condors, strangles). MACD helps assess whether to be directional or neutral.
Impulse MACD uses standard 12/26/9 alongside 12/26/1 (no signal smoothing). The 1-period signal shows raw histogram immediately. Comparing both shows where smoothing lags vs raw momentum. Useful for earlier entry/exit timing.
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