Trades futures by identifying value areas, high/low volume nodes, and institutional price levels
| Strategy Type | Volume-at-Price Analysis System |
| Market Outlook | Trades futures by identifying value areas, high/low volume nodes, and institutional price levels |
| Risk Profile | Leveraged trading; defined risk at volume profile levels; 0.5-1.5% per trade |
| Reward Profile | High probability at volume-confirmed levels; 2-4x risk reward typical |
| Time Horizon | Intraday to swing (hours to weeks); based on profile timeframe used |
| Best Conditions | All conditions; fading at HVN in ranges; trading through LVN in trends |
| Indicator Basis | Volume at Price histogram, POC, Value Area (VAH/VAL), HVN, LVN |
| Primary Instruments | ES (S&P 500), NQ (Nasdaq), CL (Crude Oil), GC (Gold) - high volume futures |
| Trading Hours | Varies by contract; VP works on any session but requires volume data |
| Broker Requirements | IBKR for Canadians; Volume Profile available on most platforms |
| Margin Requirements | Day trading margins; varies by broker and contract |
| Tax Treatment | Futures gains/losses typically 100% taxable as income in Canada |
| Tfsa Eligibility | NO - Futures cannot be held in TFSA |
| Rrsp Eligibility | NO - Futures cannot be held in RRSP |
| Commission Consideration | VP trading typically fewer but higher conviction trades |
| Platform Availability | TradingView, Sierra Chart, NinjaTrader all have VP |
| Data Note | Futures have centralized volume; VP very accurate unlike fragmented stock data |
Regular volume shows how much was traded during each TIME period (volume bars below chart). Volume Profile shows how much was traded at each PRICE level (horizontal histogram on price axis). VP answers 'where' while regular volume answers 'when'.
Yes! Futures volume is centralized on a single exchange (CME for ES, NQ, CL, etc.), so VP on futures is very accurate. This is a major advantage over stocks, where volume is fragmented across multiple exchanges and dark pools.
TradingView (paid plans), Sierra Chart, ThinkorSwim, NinjaTrader all have VP. TradingView is most accessible for beginners. For professionals, Sierra Chart offers the most complete VP tools.
Both are used. 70% is standard for most platforms and simplifies the concept. 68% comes from one standard deviation in a normal distribution. In practice, the difference is minimal - use whatever your platform defaults to.
Start with 5-10 days for day trading. As you develop skill, you can look back 20+ sessions. The further back a virgin POC, the less 'magnetic' it may be - recent virgin POCs are higher priority targets.
Session profile for day trading - yesterday's POC/VA is key for today. Composite for swing trading - combine 5-20 days to find major levels. Use both: composite for context, session for precise entries.
Self-fulfilling prophecy plus real institutional memory. Many traders watch these levels (orders cluster), and institutions remember where they executed large trades. Previous high-volume areas tend to see activity again.
You don't know for certain - trade probabilities. Strong levels (composite POC, virgin POC, HVN with PA confirmation) hold more often. Watch for rejection patterns to hold; strong momentum/volume suggests break. React, don't predict.
Both! VP provides excellent targets (next POC, opposite VA boundary, next HVN). When price reaches target VP level, take profits or trail stop tighter. VP tells you where price is likely to react.
VP + Price Action + Order Flow is powerful. VP provides levels (where to trade). PA provides trigger (when to trade). Order Flow provides confirmation (is there real buying/selling). Use all three for highest probability.
Generally, higher timeframe wins - macro levels override micro. However, strong momentum can temporarily override. When conflicting: 1) Reduce position size, 2) Wait for alignment, 3) Trade higher TF direction with tighter stop.
No universal answer - depends on your timeframe. Day traders: 5-10 day composite for context. Swing traders: 20-30 day composite. Position traders: Monthly composite. Test different periods and track which produces best results for your style.
Watch where current session volume is accumulating. Developing POC shows real-time fair value. If developing profile shows P-shape (selling at highs), bearish bias for rest of session. Use developing profile to confirm or deny pre-market bias.
VP gives the level; OF gives the confirmation. At VAL: look for positive delta, absorption on footprint, DOM support. At VAH: negative delta, selling imbalances. Score: VP level (1-3) + OF confirmation (1-3) + PA (1-3). Minimum 6/9 to trade.
Track by: 1) Level type (POC vs VA vs HVN) win rate, 2) With vs without PA confirmation, 3) Session vs composite level performance, 4) Time of day (morning vs afternoon), 5) Profile shape correlation. This identifies your edge.
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