Elder Triple Screen

Technical Systems Advanced Canada XIU XIC ZSP SPY QQQ Individual Stocks Futures Forex

Trades with the major trend while timing entries on pullbacks

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Quick Reference

Strategy Type Multi-Timeframe Trend and Oscillator System
Market Outlook Trades with the major trend while timing entries on pullbacks
Risk Profile Well-defined entry and stop levels; typically 2-3% per trade
Reward Profile High probability entries in established trends
Time Horizon Swing trading (days to weeks)
Best Conditions Trending markets with identifiable waves
Indicator Basis Three screens: Trend (MACD-H), Oscillator (Force Index), Entry Technique

Canada Market Details

Primary Instruments XIU, XIC (index ETFs); Major banks (RY, TD, BMO); ZSP (S&P 500)
Trading Hours 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
Settlement T+1 for stocks and ETFs
Tax Treatment Capital gains 50% inclusion rate
Tfsa Eligibility YES - Stock/ETF trading permitted
Rrsp Eligibility YES - Stock/ETF trading permitted
Commission Consideration Moderate frequency trading; commission impact manageable
Currency Note Consider CAD/USD exposure for US-listed instruments
Liquidity Note Works well with liquid Canadian securities

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is it called 'Triple Screen'?

Because you filter trades through three successive screens or tests: Screen 1 identifies the tide (weekly trend), Screen 2 finds the wave (daily pullback), and Screen 3 times the entry. A trade must pass all three screens.

Do I need to check all three screens every day?

Screen 1 (weekly) only needs checking once per week. Screen 2 (daily) is checked daily when Screen 1 is favorable. Screen 3 is the entry technique you use once Screen 2 signals.

What if weekly and daily disagree?

The weekly ALWAYS wins. If weekly is bearish, you don't take longs regardless of what the daily shows. The daily only matters once the weekly is in your favor.

Can I use Triple Screen in my TFSA?

Yes, Triple Screen is excellent for TFSA trading. The typical holding period of days to weeks is appropriate, and the systematic approach helps avoid overtrading.

What if Force Index isn't available on my platform?

Use Stochastic (5,3,3) or RSI (14) instead. For longs in uptrend: look for Stochastic below 30 or RSI below 40. The principle is the same - find oversold conditions in uptrend.

How long should I wait for the trailing stop to trigger?

Typically 3-5 days. If the entry isn't triggered within this window and the tide is still valid, you can reassess. If the tide changes (weekly MACD-H reverses), cancel the pending order.

Should I exit when the oscillator goes positive or wait for weekly change?

Dr. Elder recommends exiting primarily on weekly tide change. However, you can take partial profits when the oscillator reaches extreme positive levels, then trail the rest.

Can I use Triple Screen for day trading?

Yes, but adjust timeframes: use Daily for Screen 1 (tide) and Hourly for Screens 2 & 3 (wave and entry). The principle of trading with the larger trend on smaller timeframe pullbacks remains.

How do I handle gaps?

If price gaps through your trailing buy stop, you'll be filled at the gap open, which may be worse than expected. This is rare. If it happens, ensure position sizing limited your risk to 2%.

What's the typical win rate for Triple Screen?

Typically 45-55%. The system doesn't aim for high win rate; it aims for larger winners than losers. Profits come from staying with the tide while cutting losses on whipsaws.

How do I build a Triple Screen scanner?

Two-stage scan: First, find instruments with rising weekly MACD-H (bullish tide). Second, from that list, find those with daily Force Index below zero. The output is your 'ready for entry' list.

Can I combine Triple Screen with options?

Yes. Instead of buying stock on Screen 3 trigger, buy ATM or slightly ITM calls with 2-3 months to expiration. This provides defined risk and leverage. Use the same exit rules.

How do I apply the 6% rule across multiple Triple Screen positions?

Track risk on each position (Entry - Stop) × Shares. Sum across all positions. This total must not exceed 6% of account. With 2% per trade, you can have maximum 3 positions.

What adjustments for highly volatile stocks?

Use wider stops (below 2-3 day low instead of previous day), smaller position sizes, and possibly a higher ATR multiplier for the Chandelier Exit. The tide/wave concept still applies.

How do I measure Triple Screen system performance?

Track: Win rate, profit factor, avg winner vs loser, Screen 3 fill rate (efficiency), avg holding period. The system should have profit factor > 1.5 and winners at least 2× losers.

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