Expecting big move, more likely DOWN than up
| Strategy Type | Modified Straddle with Bearish Bias (2 Puts + 1 Call) |
| Market Outlook | Expecting big move, more likely DOWN than up |
| Risk Profile | Defined risk - maximum loss is premium paid |
| Reward Profile | Unlimited profit potential, 2× profit on downside vs upside |
| Time Horizon | 30-60 days typical (need time for move to occur) |
| Iv Environment | Best when IV is LOW (buying cheap options) |
| Breakeven | Two breakevens - asymmetric due to extra put |
| Market Hours | ASX: 10:00 AM - 4:00 PM AEST |
| Best Underlyings | Primary - liquid ATM options available • BHP, CBA, CSL, RIO - stocks with potential large moves • Stocks facing earnings, M&A, regulatory decisions • Need liquid ATM strike with reasonable bid-ask |
| Structure | Buy 2 ATM puts + Buy 1 ATM call (same strike, same expiry) • 2:1 puts to calls • All options at same strike price • All options same expiration date |
| Comparison To Straddle | 1 put + 1 call (neutral bias) • 2 puts + 1 call (BEARISH bias) • 1 put + 2 calls (bullish bias) |
| Expiry Schedule | 3rd Thursday monthly; weeklies on other Thursdays |
| Asic Compliance | Level 2+ for buying options |
| Contract Size | XJO: A$10/point; Equities: 100 shares |
| Margin | None required - debit strategy (pay upfront) |
| Tax Treatment | Gains taxed as ordinary income or capital gains |
The extra put creates a bearish bias. When the underlying falls, you profit from BOTH puts, making money twice as fast on the downside. This is ideal when you expect a move but believe it's more likely to be down than up.
Strip = 2 puts + 1 call (BEARISH bias). Strap = 1 put + 2 calls (BULLISH bias). They're mirror images - use strip when expecting down, strap when expecting up. Both cost more than straddle but give directional leverage.
No. Strip is a debit strategy with defined risk. Maximum loss is the total premium paid for all three options, which occurs if the underlying expires exactly at the strike price. You cannot lose more than this amount.
You still have the call for upside protection. You can profit if the up move is large enough to overcome the total premium. However, you only have 1× upside exposure vs 2× downside, so you need a bigger up move to profit.
A strip includes a call, so you have SOME upside protection if your bearish view is wrong. Pure puts are cheaper but offer zero upside. Strip is for when you're 60-70% bearish but want insurance against being wrong.
Upper breakeven = Strike + Total Premium. Lower breakeven = Strike - (Total Premium / 2). The lower BE is closer because 2 puts create 2× profit rate, so you need only half the move to overcome the premium on the downside.
Low IV means options are cheap to buy. You're buying 3 options, so cost matters significantly. Additionally, IV expansion after entry adds profit through vega - all 3 options gain value even before the underlying moves.
Theta decay is significant because you're long 3 options. Decay is 3× a single option. You need the underlying to move relatively quickly to overcome theta. Generally aim for move within 2-3 weeks of entry.
Yes. If you've captured downside profit and want to neutralize, sell one of the puts. This leaves you with 1 put + 1 call = straddle at your original strike. You've locked in some profit while maintaining both-direction exposure.
Exit quickly after the catalyst regardless of P&L. IV typically crushes after events, which hurts long options positions. Even if the move was favorable, IV crush can erode profits. Lock in gains immediately post-event.
Steep put skew makes puts expensive, increasing strip cost. Since you're buying 2 puts, the skew impact is significant. In steep skew environments, consider OTM puts (different strike) or lighter ratios (1.5:1) to reduce skew cost.
The ratio should reflect your probability assessment. If you estimate 70% chance of down move, a 2.3:1 ratio (probability-weighted) might be optimal. Standard 2:1 is appropriate for ~67% bearish confidence.
Institutions size based on target Greek exposure, not arbitrary percentages. They might target specific delta reduction (e.g., reduce portfolio delta by 10%) or vega target (add 0.50 vega per $1M). This ensures the hedge is appropriately sized relative to portfolio risk.
Yes. Advanced traders can delta hedge the strip (buy/sell underlying to neutralize delta) and capture gamma profits from oscillating prices. The positive gamma makes delta change favorably, creating scalping opportunities. However, transaction costs can erode gains.
A calendar strip combines long near-term strip (event exposure) with short far-term strip (cost reduction). Used when expecting near-term event but wanting to reduce net premium. Complex to manage across expirations but can be cost-effective for defined events.
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