Works in trending markets, provides trailing stops
| Strategy Type | Trend-Following Stop and Reverse System |
| Market Outlook | Works in trending markets, provides trailing stops |
| Risk Profile | Defined by SAR level (built-in stop) |
| Reward Profile | Captures trends with automatic trailing stop |
| Time Horizon | Swing to position trading (days to weeks) |
| Best Markets | Strongly trending stocks, indices, commodities |
| Signal Type | SAR flip from above to below price (or vice versa) |
| Market Hours | ASX: 10:00 AM - 4:00 PM AEST |
| Best Underlyings | Good for index trend following • BHP, CBA, CSL, RIO - liquid stocks with sustained trends • STW, IOZ, IVV - broad market ETF trending • Mining, resources with strong directional moves |
| Timeframe Recommendations | Primary timeframe for swing trading • Position trading, fewer signals, larger moves • Active trading, more responsive • Day trading application (more whipsaws) |
| Indicator Components | Dots plotted above or below price • Uptrend - dots act as trailing stop for longs • Downtrend - dots act as trailing stop for shorts • When price crosses SAR, trend reverses |
| Default Parameters | Wilder's original settings |
| Asx Considerations | Gaps can cause SAR flip without real reversal • High volatility may need adjusted parameters • Trade top 50 ASX stocks for best results |
Enter when SAR 'flips' - when the dots move from one side of price to the other. Bullish flip (dots move from above to below price) = buy signal. Bearish flip (dots move from below to above) = sell signal. Wait for the daily close to confirm the flip.
The SAR value IS your stop-loss. It's built into the indicator. If you're long and dots are below at $48, your stop is $48. If price closes below $48, the SAR will flip and you exit. The stop 'trails' as SAR moves closer to price over time.
SAR generates many false signals in ranging markets where there's no clear trend. The solution is to add a trend filter like ADX > 25 - only take SAR signals when ADX confirms a trending market. This eliminates most whipsaws.
Classic SAR is 'always in the market' - you go short when exiting long. However, for beginners, 'long-only' is recommended - exit longs on bearish flip but don't enter short. Wait for next bullish flip. Shorting requires more experience and different risk management.
Daily timeframe is best for swing trading - clear signals, manageable frequency. Weekly gives fewer but larger moves for position trading. Shorter timeframes (4H, 1H) generate more signals but more whipsaws. Start with daily.
Only take SAR signals when ADX > 25 (confirming trend exists). If SAR flips but ADX < 25, ignore the signal - market is ranging and likely to whipsaw. This simple filter typically improves win rate by 15-20% while reducing trade frequency by 30-50%.
Yes, consider adjustments: Volatile stocks (mining): Lower AF (0.015) for wider stops. Smooth stocks (utilities): Higher AF (0.025) for tighter trailing. Always backtest parameter changes before live trading. Default (0.02/0.02/0.20) works for most situations.
Check weekly SAR for major trend direction. Only take daily SAR signals in the direction of weekly. If weekly is bullish (dots below), only take daily bullish flips. Exit on daily flip, but stay out if weekly is still bullish (may re-enter).
Yes, this is a powerful approach. Enter using another method (EMA cross, breakout) then switch to SAR as your trailing stop. Use whichever is tighter: your initial stop or SAR. As SAR catches up, it becomes your trailing stop. Exit when SAR is hit.
Best confirmations: Breakout above resistance (for bullish flip), Support test and bounce, High volume on flip day, Bullish candlestick pattern (engulfing, hammer). More confirmations = higher probability. Consider 3+ confirmations for full position.
Calculate ATR percentile (where current ATR ranks vs history). Low ATR (<20th %ile): Use higher AF (0.025-0.03) for tighter stops. High ATR (>80th %ile): Use lower AF (0.015) for wider stops. This adapts SAR to current volatility conditions automatically.
SAR bullish = call-biased (bull call spreads, bull put spreads). SAR bearish = put-biased. SAR flip = entry timing. Use SAR trailing to manage option exit. DTE should match typical SAR signal duration (15-25 days on daily, so use 30-45 DTE).
Run two SAR indicators with different settings - fast (AF 0.025/0.025/0.25) and slow (AF 0.015/0.015/0.15). Enter when BOTH flip same direction (confirmation). Exit when fast SAR flips (early warning). Reduces false signals while providing early exit alerts.
Track rolling profit factor and win rate over 2-3 year windows. If metrics decline significantly while markets have trended, edge may be decaying. Also compare performance in trending vs ranging regimes. If both are declining, consider parameter adjustments or additional filters.
Screen universe for SAR flips, rank by quality score (confirmations), apply sector limits. Monitor index SAR - if XJO flips bearish, reduce all positions by 50% and tighten stops. Treat correlated positions (same sector) as one for risk purposes.
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