Strongly neutral - expecting pinning at current price
| Strategy Type | ATM Iron Butterfly on Weekly Options |
| Market Outlook | Strongly neutral - expecting pinning at current price |
| Risk Profile | Defined risk with high premium but narrow profit zone |
| Reward Profile | Maximum credit collection; highest profit if underlying pins at strike |
| Time Horizon | 1-7 days (weekly expiration cycle) |
| Iv Environment | Best with elevated IV (captures more premium for same risk) |
| Breakeven | ATM strike ± total credit received |
| Market Hours | ASX: 10:00 AM - 4:00 PM AEST |
| Best Underlyings | Primary - weekly options available on non-monthly Thursdays • BHP, CBA - limited weekly availability • Weekly liquidity often lower than monthly |
| Weekly Schedule | Thursday (non-monthly weeks) • Monday-Tuesday for 3-5 DTE • Wednesday for 1-2 DTE (very aggressive) • 3rd Thursday is monthly expiry, not weekly |
| Strike Availability | 25-point increments available • Choose strike closest to current price • 25, 50, 75, 100 points from ATM |
| Expiry Schedule | Weeklies expire Thursdays; monthlies on 3rd Thursday |
| Asic Compliance | Level 3+ for iron butterflies |
| Contract Size | XJO: A$10/point; Equities: 100 shares |
| Margin | SPAN margin - similar to iron condor |
| Tax Treatment | Gains taxed as ordinary income or capital gains |
Use a butterfly when you expect the underlying to PIN near a specific price - to stay very close to current levels. Butterflies collect more premium but have narrower profit zones. Use iron condor when you expect a range but not a specific pin point.
You'll experience extreme gamma risk in the final hours. If the underlying is at your center strike, you'll approach max profit. If it's beyond your breakevens, you'll approach max loss. Small moves can swing the outcome dramatically.
You can trade every week since there are 52 weekly expirations per year (excluding monthly weeks). However, not every week will meet your criteria. Expect to trade 40-48 weeks with selective entry conditions.
Gamma risk - the sensitivity to price movement. ATM weekly options have the highest gamma. A small move can quickly turn a profitable position into a losing one. This is why active management and early profit-taking are important.
No. Weekly butterflies are advanced strategies requiring active monitoring and quick decision-making. Start with monthly iron condors, progress to monthly butterflies, then weekly iron condors, and finally weekly butterflies.
Compare your breakevens to the expected move. In low XVI (< 15%), 50-point wings may work. In moderate XVI (15-22%), use 75-point. In high XVI (> 22%), use 100-point. Your breakevens should be at or beyond the expected move.
XVI of 15-25% is often ideal. Below 15%, premium is thin and may not justify the risk. Above 25%, expected moves are large and breakevens are likely to be breached. The sweet spot offers good premium with manageable expected moves.
Generally no - there's not enough time. The best 'adjustment' is to close the position if it's not working. Weekly butterflies are more binary - they work or they don't. Adjustments make more sense on monthly positions.
Yes, you can roll by closing the current position and opening a new one for next week's expiry. However, evaluate each week independently. Don't roll a losing position hoping to recover - close it and assess fresh.
If IV drops after you enter (e.g., post-event), the options you sold lose value faster than the options you bought. This benefits your short premium position. Enter before events if expecting IV crush.
Calculate dollar gamma (gamma × contract multiplier × underlying price). Set a maximum portfolio dollar gamma limit (e.g., 0.05% of account per point). Size positions so aggregate dollar gamma stays within this limit.
Key filters include: XVI range (15-25%), no major events, range-bound market regime, high open interest at target strike, and avoiding the week of monthly expiration. Backtesting shows these filters improve win rate by 5-10%.
You can delta-hedge by trading the underlying (futures or stock) against your delta as it changes. This is 'gamma scalping.' Alternatively, buy a small amount of ATM options to offset gamma. Both methods cost money but smooth P&L.
For most traders, 5-15% of options capital is appropriate for weekly butterflies. They have high gamma and require attention. The bulk of capital should be in lower-risk strategies. As skill improves, allocation can increase.
A balanced approach: Monthly iron condors for base income (60-70% of capital), weekly butterflies for enhanced returns (15-25%), and long premium strategies for protection (10-15%). Weekly butterflies add return but increase monitoring burden.
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