Trades based on volume concentration at price levels
| Strategy Type | Volume Distribution Trading System |
| Market Outlook | Trades based on volume concentration at price levels |
| Risk Profile | Defined by volume node boundaries or structure |
| Reward Profile | Targets based on volume nodes and fair value |
| Time Horizon | Day trading to position trading (1 hour to weeks) |
| Best Markets | All liquid futures with sufficient volume for profile development |
| Signal Type | POC, Value Area, HVN/LVN, and volume node transitions |
| Market Hours | SPI 200: 5:10 PM - 7:00 AM, 9:50 AM - 4:30 PM AEST |
| Profile Sessions | Single session volume profile • Full 24-hour profile • Multi-day volume accumulation • Custom period analysis |
| Best Underlyings | S&P 500 E-mini - highest volume, clearest profiles • Nasdaq 100 - excellent volume distribution • Crude Oil - volatile, distinct volume nodes • Gold - respects volume levels well • SPI 200 - moderate volume, usable profiles • AUD/USD futures - currency volume analysis |
| Timeframe Recommendations | For scalping and precise levels • Standard volume profile • Day trading reference • Swing and position trading |
| Profile Components | Point of Control (highest volume price) • 70% of volume zone • Value Area High • Value Area Low • High Volume Node (support/resistance) • Low Volume Node (fast movement) |
| Common Parameters | 70% (one standard deviation) • Price granularity for profile • 5-20 days for context • RTH, ETH, or full session |
| Futures Considerations | Overnight vs day session volume • RTH often more significant • Rolling or fixed periods • Higher volume = more reliable levels |
Volume Profile shows volume (contracts) at each price. Market Profile shows time (TPOs) at each price. Volume shows where trading occurred; time shows where market stayed. Both are valuable - use together for complete picture.
Most platforms support Volume Profile: TradingView (free), NinjaTrader, Sierra Chart, Thinkorswim. Look for session profiles, composite profiles, and HVN/LVN highlighting. Sierra Chart is professional standard.
Match composite to your trading timeframe. Day trading: 5-day composite for context. Swing trading: 10-20 day composite. Position trading: 20-60 day composite. Start with 5-day, expand as needed.
For primary levels, use RTH (Regular Trading Hours) as it has higher institutional volume. Use 24-hour for context and gap analysis. Focus on RTH POC/VA, but be aware of overnight activity.
HVNs are 'bulges' in the profile where volume is concentrated. LVNs are 'thin' areas with minimal volume. Most platforms color-code or highlight these zones automatically.
Virgin POCs are magnets. When price approaches, expect reaction. Enter on touch with stop beyond POC zone. Target: Previous session range or next level. Track multiple virgin POCs and prioritize recent ones.
Don't fade VA when: Value is migrating (P or B shape), strong trend day, composite levels conflict, order flow overwhelmingly against fade, or multiple failed fades already occurred.
Watch developing POC migration direction. Steady migration = directional bias. POC jumping = strong move. POC stable = balance. Trade with POC migration direction on pullbacks.
Strong HVNs have: High volume relative to session average, multiple price levels included, multi-session alignment (ledge), clear edges, and historical respect. Stronger HVNs = higher confidence trades.
Profile provides levels; order flow provides timing. At profile levels, read delta: positive at support = holding, negative at resistance = holding. Absorption at POC = strong defense. Wait for flow confirmation before entry.
Score: Session level +1, 5-day confluence +2, 20-day confluence +3, HVN alignment +1, ledge +2. Total score guides position size. Score 5+: full size. Score 3-4: standard. Score 1-2: reduced or skip.
Volume skew analyzes where volume concentrates within an HVN. Upper-skewed = bullish accumulation, expect support to hold and break up. Lower-skewed = bearish, expect resistance. Skew reveals institutional intent within the node.
Volume ledge = multi-day HVN alignment at same prices. Look for overlapping HVNs across 3+ sessions. Ledges are major institutional levels with highest confidence. Mark and prioritize trades at ledges.
Yes - calculations (POC, VA, HVN/LVN) automate well. Virgin POC tracking, confluence scoring, and alert generation are programmable. Interpretation and context benefit from discretion. Best: automated scanning + discretionary execution.
Higher timeframe wins conflicts. 20-day composite > 5-day > session. If session shows resistance but composite shows HVN support, defer to composite. Reduce size when timeframes conflict.
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